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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 11,4x - 12,6x | 12,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13,5x - 14,9x | 14,2x |
| Fair Value | ¥4.456 - ¥4.828 | ¥4.642 |
| Upside | 1,2% - 9,7% | 5,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sega Sammy Holdings Inc. | 6460 | TSE:6460 |
| Hasbro, Inc. | HAS | NasdaqGS:HAS |
| Sony Group Corporation | 6758 | TSE:6758 |
| Roland Corporation | 7944 | TSE:7944 |
| Globeride, Inc. | 7990 | TSE:7990 |
| BANDAI NAMCO Holdings Inc. | 7832 | TSE:7832 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6460 | HAS | 6758 | 7944 | 7990 | 7832 | ||
| TSE:6460 | NasdaqGS:HAS | TSE:6758 | TSE:7944 | TSE:7990 | TSE:7832 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 34.2% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 1.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 105.4% | -5.8% | 7.3% | -3.6% | 0.4% | 2.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -28.0% | 125.9% | 27.1% | -16.2% | -29.0% | 116.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.0% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.1% | 18.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.3% | 18.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 15.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.00x | 2.51x | 1.67x | 0.86x | 0.38x | 1.84x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.9x | 11.4x | 12.6x | 6.7x | 4.6x | 9.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.7x | 13.9x | 16.2x | 8.6x | 8.6x | 11.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 9.7x | 16.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 16.1x | 18.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 11.4x | 12.0x | 12.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 191,634 | 191,634 | 191,634 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,180,061 | 2,294,801 | 2,409,541 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 606,384 | 606,384 | 606,384 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,786,445 | 2,901,185 | 3,015,925 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 654.3 | 654.3 | 654.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4,258.90 | 4,434.27 | 4,609.65 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4,258.90 | 4,434.27 | 4,609.65 | 4,402.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -3.3% | 0.7% | 4.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6460 | HAS | 6758 | 7944 | 7990 | 7832 | |
| Enterprise Value | 441,278 | 10,277 | 21,082,018 | 77,222 | 47,444 | 2,273,686 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 202,348 | 695 | 1,415,305 | 14,478 | 11,573 | 395,363 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 50,522 | 0 | 361,979 | 3,374 | 6,677 | 211,501 | |
| (-) Debt | (153,250) | (3,525) | (4,378,093) | (20,442) | (27,283) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (36) | (27) | (339,723) | (262) | (226) | (480) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 540,862 | 7,419 | 18,141,486 | 74,370 | 38,185 | 2,880,070 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 213.6 | 139.5 | 6,029.1 | 26.1 | 23.0 | 654.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,532.00 | 53.17 | 3,009.00 | 2,846.00 | 1,661.00 | 4,402.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,532.00 | 53.17 | 3,009.00 | 2,846.00 | 1,661.00 | 4,402.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | USD | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |