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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,2x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,0x - 1,1x | 1,0x |
Fair Value | ¥6.560 - ¥7.390 | ¥6.975 |
Upside | -20,8% - -10,8% | -15,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Skylark Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3197 | TSE:3197 |
Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd. | 9861 | TSE:9861 |
Mos Food Services, Inc. | 8153 | TSE:8153 |
WB Burgers Asia, Inc. | WBBA | OTCPK:WBBA |
Yum! Brands, Inc. | YUM | NYSE:YUM |
Zensho Holdings Co., Ltd. | 7550 | TSE:7550 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
3197 | 9861 | 8153 | WBBA | YUM | 7550 | |||
TSE:3197 | TSE:9861 | TSE:8153 | OTCPK:WBBA | NYSE:YUM | TSE:7550 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 1.3% | -1.5% | 7.0% | NM- | 6.2% | 9.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 14.9% | 3.2% | 8.9% | NM- | 4.7% | 17.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 21.8% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -0.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | -520.5% | 32.6% | 3.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | -701.8% | 33.5% | 2.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | -373.3% | 33.6% | 5.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | -153.2% | 33.6% | NA | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.92x | 0.91x | 0.76x | 0.72x | 7.40x | 1.36x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 31.0x | 24.0x | 15.0x | -0.5x | 22.0x | 20.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.71x | 0.97x | 1.17x | 0.04x | 5.87x | 1.17x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.72x | 0.91x | 7.40x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.75x | 0.98x | 1.33x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.13x | 1.19x | 1.25x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 1,105,735 | 1,105,735 | 1,105,735 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,250,164 | 1,315,963 | 1,381,761 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (206,627) | (206,627) | (206,627) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,043,537 | 1,109,336 | 1,175,134 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 156.7 | 156.7 | 156.7 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 6,660.98 | 7,080.98 | 7,500.97 | |||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6,660.98 | 7,080.98 | 7,500.97 | 8,288.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -19.6% | -14.6% | -9.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 3197 | 9861 | 8153 | WBBA | YUM | 7550 | |
Enterprise Value | 770,350 | 181,302 | 72,175 | 0 | 55,854 | 1,505,060 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19,170 | 21,245 | 23,197 | 0 | 712 | 96,236 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 19,172 | 21,597 | 0 | 8 | 1,546 | |
(-) Debt | (106,331) | (27,535) | (5,797) | (0) | (12,286) | (304,128) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (601) | (256) | 0 | 0 | (281) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 683,189 | 193,583 | 110,916 | 0 | 44,288 | 1,298,433 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 227.5 | 64.7 | 30.9 | 20.7 | 279.1 | 156.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,003.00 | 2,991.50 | 3,595.00 | 0.00 | 158.68 | 8,288.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,003.00 | 2,991.50 | 3,595.00 | 0.00 | 158.68 | 8,288.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | USD | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |