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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 13,4x - 14,8x | 14,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 7,6x - 8,4x | 8,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥4.913 - ¥5.357 | ¥5.135 |
| Upside | 69,1% - 84,4% | 76,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Japan Electronic Materials Corporation | 6855 | TSE:6855 |
| Tokyo Electron Limited | 8035 | TSE:8035 |
| Technoprobe S.p.A. | TPRO | BIT:TPRO |
| Aehr Test Systems, Inc. | AEHR | NasdaqCM:AEHR |
| Protec Mems Technology Inc. | A147760 | KOSDAQ:A147760 |
| Micronics Japan Co., Ltd. | 6871 | TSE:6871 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6855 | 8035 | TPRO | AEHR | A147760 | 6871 | ||
| TSE:6855 | TSE:8035 | BIT:TPRO | NasdaqCM:AEHR | KOSDAQ:A147760 | TSE:6871 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.8% | 8.0% | -2.0% | NM- | NM- | 53.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -31.1% | 12.5% | -23.6% | NM- | NM- | 15.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 337.1% | 42.0% | -18.1% | -101.9% | -148.8% | 136.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.7% | 26.0% | 29.1% | 0.5% | -6.4% | 15.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.4% | 28.0% | 20.0% | 20.6% | -15.9% | 13.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.0% | 24.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% | -53.7% | 22.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 28.4% | 12.4% | -0.7% | -53.7% | 22.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.61x | 3.50x | 4.93x | 3.74x | 2.03x | 1.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.6x | 11.3x | 19.6x | 266.0x | -6.7x | 5.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 3.3x | 12.3x | 39.9x | -529.0x | -3.8x | 6.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -529.0x | 3.3x | 39.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3.7x | 14.4x | 29.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 13.4x | 14.1x | 14.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 12,573 | 12,573 | 12,573 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 168,041 | 176,885 | 185,729 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 26,688 | 26,688 | 26,688 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 194,729 | 203,573 | 212,417 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 38.6 | 38.6 | 38.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5,046.05 | 5,275.23 | 5,504.41 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5,046.05 | 5,275.23 | 5,504.41 | 2,905.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 73.7% | 81.6% | 89.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6855 | 8035 | TPRO | AEHR | A147760 | 6871 | |
| Enterprise Value | 12,233 | 8,123,865 | 2,672 | 190 | 49,571 | 85,417 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,282 | 295,529 | 675 | 32 | 4,064 | 23,949 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 531 | 265,524 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,914 | |
| (-) Debt | (4,846) | 0 | (19) | (6) | (24,205) | (1,175) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 19,200 | 8,684,918 | 3,330 | 216 | 29,430 | 112,105 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 12.6 | 458.1 | 647.3 | 29.7 | 10.8 | 38.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,520.00 | 18,960.00 | 5.15 | 7.26 | 2,720.00 | 2,905.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,520.00 | 18,960.00 | 5.15 | 7.26 | 2,720.00 | 2,905.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | EUR | USD | KRW | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |