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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,5x - 0,6x | 0,5x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,5x - 0,5x | 0,5x |
| Fair Value | ¥621,69 - ¥695,59 | ¥658,64 |
| Upside | 24,3% - 39,1% | 31,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Sumida Corporation | 6817 | TSE:6817 |
| Hibino Corporation | 2469 | TSE:2469 |
| UMC Electronics Co., Ltd. | 6615 | TSE:6615 |
| Nagano Keiki Co., Ltd. | 7715 | TSE:7715 |
| Tokyo Electron Device Limited | 2760 | TSE:2760 |
| Tamura Corporation | 6768 | TSE:6768 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 6817 | 2469 | 6615 | 7715 | 2760 | 6768 | |||
| TSE:6817 | TSE:2469 | TSE:6615 | TSE:7715 | TSE:2760 | TSE:6768 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.8% | 8.3% | -1.1% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 4.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 11.1% | 18.3% | -1.2% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 13.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -2.5% | 20.1% | -4.6% | -0.5% | -7.8% | 1.6% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.60x | 0.59x | 0.15x | 0.47x | 0.55x | 0.43x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 15.3x | 9.2x | 8.5x | 4.5x | 9.3x | 9.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.22x | 0.41x | 0.06x | 0.54x | 0.40x | 0.37x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.15x | 0.55x | 0.60x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.38x | 0.57x | 0.77x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.52x | 0.54x | 0.57x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 110,346 | 110,346 | 110,346 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 56,867 | 59,860 | 62,853 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,574) | (6,574) | (6,574) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 50,293 | 53,286 | 56,279 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 81.8 | 81.8 | 81.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 614.96 | 651.56 | 688.15 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 614.96 | 651.56 | 688.15 | 500.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.0% | 30.3% | 37.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6817 | 2469 | 6615 | 7715 | 2760 | 6768 | |
| Enterprise Value | 86,826 | 33,102 | 19,521 | 31,034 | 126,277 | 47,465 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,286 | 4,553 | 13,699 | 8,224 | 9,743 | 17,935 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,154 | 4,160 | 7,930 | 13,295 | 6,259 | 7,488 | |
| (-) Debt | (57,975) | (18,957) | (33,052) | (15,538) | (50,244) | (31,894) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (2,266) | (555) | (22) | (738) | (1,136) | (103) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 32,025 | 22,303 | 8,076 | 36,277 | 90,899 | 40,891 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 33.0 | 9.9 | 28.1 | 19.1 | 30.1 | 81.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 969.00 | 2,245.00 | 287.00 | 1,899.00 | 3,015.00 | 500.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 969.00 | 2,245.00 | 287.00 | 1,899.00 | 3,015.00 | 500.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |