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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 12,0x - 13,3x | 12,7x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,8x - 9,7x | 9,3x |
Fair Value | ¥5.128 - ¥5.656 | ¥5.392 |
Upside | 9,4% - 20,7% | 15,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Prysmian S.p.A. | PRY | BIT:PRY |
Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co., Ltd. | 600522 | SHSE:600522 |
Sumitomo Corporation | 8053 | TSE:8053 |
Fuji Electric Co., Ltd. | 6504 | TSE:6504 |
Mitsubishi Electric Corporation | 6503 | TSE:6503 |
Fujikura Ltd. | 5803 | TSE:5803 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
PRY | 600522 | 8053 | 6504 | 6503 | 5803 | ||
BIT:PRY | SHSE:600522 | TSE:8053 | TSE:6504 | TSE:6503 | TSE:5803 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 15.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 2.5% | 20.2% | |
3Y CAGR | 30.9% | -0.1% | 101.7% | 30.0% | 12.6% | 41.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 17.5% | -17.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 27.5% | 75.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 12.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.00x | 0.80x | 0.60x | 0.69x | 0.70x | 1.38x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.8x | 9.0x | 7.7x | 4.4x | 6.2x | 9.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 13.9x | 12.9x | 10.2x | 6.7x | 9.4x | 11.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.7x | 10.2x | 13.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.1x | 10.0x | 26.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 12.0x | 12.7x | 13.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 114,314 | 114,314 | 114,314 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,375,634 | 1,448,036 | 1,520,438 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 30,359 | 30,359 | 30,359 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,405,993 | 1,478,395 | 1,550,797 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 275.9 | 275.9 | 275.9 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 5,096.02 | 5,358.44 | 5,620.86 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5,096.02 | 5,358.44 | 5,620.86 | 4,685.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 8.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PRY | 600522 | 8053 | 6504 | 6503 | 5803 | |
Enterprise Value | 17,172 | 37,392 | 4,280,504 | 777,976 | 3,855,243 | 1,262,234 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,082 | 13,006 | 709,818 | 62,381 | 733,975 | 147,262 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 266 | 2,846 | 3,490,021 | 161,383 | 1,290,150 | 69,826 | |
(-) Debt | (5,425) | (5,476) | (4,263,411) | (91,862) | (388,667) | (159,082) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (210) | (798) | (278,453) | (61,192) | (133,239) | (27,647) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 12,885 | 46,971 | 3,938,479 | 848,686 | 5,357,462 | 1,292,593 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 286.9 | 3,396.3 | 1,210.0 | 142.8 | 2,075.3 | 275.9 | |
Implied Stock Price | 44.91 | 13.83 | 3,255.00 | 5,942.00 | 2,581.50 | 4,685.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 44.91 | 13.83 | 3,255.00 | 5,942.00 | 2,581.50 | 4,685.00 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | CNY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |