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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 17,3x - 19,1x | 18,2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13,9x - 15,4x | 14,6x |
Fair Value | ¥8.354 - ¥9.165 | ¥8.759 |
Upside | -0,4% - 9,2% | 4,4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Aica Kogyo Company, Limited | 4206 | TSE:4206 |
Laox Holdings CO.,LTD. | 8202 | TSE:8202 |
Pacific Net Co.,Ltd. | 3021 | TSE:3021 |
WA, Inc. | 7683 | TSE:7683 |
Ku Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 9856 | TSE:9856 |
JINS HOLDINGS Inc. | 3046 | TSE:3046 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
4206 | 8202 | 3021 | 7683 | 9856 | 3046 | ||
TSE:4206 | TSE:8202 | TSE:3021 | TSE:7683 | TSE:9856 | TSE:3046 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 5.6% | NM- | 16.2% | 4.1% | 11.1% | 1.1% | |
3Y CAGR | 10.4% | NM- | -5.0% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 15.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.4% | -100.4% | 27.5% | -5.2% | 0.9% | 76.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 10.0% | -1.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.7% | 0.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 0.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 11.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 11.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.76x | 0.07x | 1.47x | 0.98x | 0.19x | 2.01x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 4.8x | 3.5x | 9.8x | 2.5x | 13.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | -4155.3x | 14.7x | 13.4x | 3.3x | 17.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4155.3x | 6.9x | 14.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 23.2x | 33.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 17.3x | 18.2x | 19.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 10,428 | 10,428 | 10,428 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 179,931 | 189,401 | 198,871 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 15,168 | 15,168 | 15,168 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 195,099 | 204,569 | 214,039 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 23.3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 8,358.72 | 8,764.45 | 9,170.18 | ||||
FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8,358.72 | 8,764.45 | 9,170.18 | 8,390.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -0.4% | 4.5% | 9.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4206 | 8202 | 3021 | 7683 | 9856 | 3046 | |
Enterprise Value | 189,169 | 4,155 | 11,486 | 22,319 | 30,619 | 180,661 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 59,573 | 9,086 | 600 | 2,895 | 13,258 | 11,399 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 23,267 | 4,463 | 516 | 1,177 | 2,554 | 9,376 | |
(-) Debt | (28,207) | (2,712) | (6,091) | (314) | (9,178) | (5,607) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (16,331) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 227,471 | 14,992 | 6,511 | 26,077 | 37,253 | 195,829 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 62.8 | 91.4 | 5.3 | 19.1 | 32.9 | 23.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 3,624.00 | 164.00 | 1,239.00 | 1,367.00 | 1,134.00 | 8,390.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,624.00 | 164.00 | 1,239.00 | 1,367.00 | 1,134.00 | 8,390.00 | |
Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |