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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 4,4x - 4,8x | 4,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,3x - 7,0x | 6,7x |
| Fair Value | ¥2.499 - ¥2.570 | ¥2.535 |
| Upside | 14,0% - 17,2% | 15,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Nisshinbo Holdings Inc. | 3105 | TSE:3105 |
| Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. | 4204 | TSE:4204 |
| Noritsu Koki Co., Ltd. | 7744 | TSE:7744 |
| Mie Kotsu Group Holdings, Inc. | 3232 | TSE:3232 |
| Nippi,Incorporated | 7932 | TSE:7932 |
| Katakura Industries Co.,Ltd. | 3001 | TSE:3001 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3105 | 4204 | 7744 | 3232 | 7932 | 3001 | ||
| TSE:3105 | TSE:4204 | TSE:7744 | TSE:3232 | TSE:7932 | TSE:3001 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 20.7% | 4.2% | 27.3% | 7.3% | 14.2% | 9.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -8.7% | 6.7% | 22.7% | 41.1% | 27.3% | 13.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 279.0% | 14.4% | -9.6% | 14.2% | 0.4% | 29.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.7% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.3% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 8.3% | 18.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | NA | 8.3% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.67x | 0.84x | 0.98x | 0.51x | 0.29x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 5.4x | 3.9x | 7.5x | 5.2x | 1.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.8x | 8.1x | 5.2x | 12.1x | 7.0x | 2.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.2x | 8.1x | 12.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.3x | 6.1x | 31.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 4.4x | 4.6x | 4.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 4,833 | 4,833 | 4,833 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 21,060 | 22,169 | 23,277 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 57,762 | 57,762 | 57,762 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 78,822 | 79,931 | 81,039 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.6 | 31.6 | 31.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2,492.95 | 2,528.01 | 2,563.07 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2,492.95 | 2,528.01 | 2,563.07 | 2,192.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3105 | 4204 | 7744 | 3232 | 7932 | 3001 | |
| Enterprise Value | 262,119 | 875,531 | 89,783 | 101,622 | 25,284 | 11,545 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 48,922 | 142,586 | 89,677 | 5,416 | 8,933 | 30,002 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 64,417 | 158,901 | 17,614 | 22,326 | 5,341 | 40,046 | |
| (-) Debt | (202,585) | (110,829) | (37,167) | (79,186) | (10,646) | (9,230) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (28,107) | (28,018) | (518) | (351) | (730) | (3,056) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 144,766 | 1,038,171 | 159,389 | 49,827 | 28,182 | 69,307 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 156.2 | 413.6 | 35.3 | 100.3 | 2.9 | 31.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 926.80 | 2,510.00 | 4,515.00 | 497.00 | 9,800.00 | 2,192.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 926.80 | 2,510.00 | 4,515.00 | 497.00 | 9,800.00 | 2,192.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |