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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7,2x - 8,0x | 7,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,6x - 9,5x | 9,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥729,47 - ¥852,84 | ¥791,15 |
| Upside | -4,5% - 11,6% | 3,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Higashimaru Co.,Ltd. | 2058 | FKSE:2058 |
| Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd | 2916 | TSE:2916 |
| Key Coffee Inc. | 2594 | TSE:2594 |
| Akikawa Foods & Farms Co., Ltd. | 1380 | TSE:1380 |
| Ohmoriya Co.,Ltd. | 2917 | TSE:2917 |
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2058 | 2916 | 2594 | 1380 | 2917 | 2904 | ||
| FKSE:2058 | TSE:2916 | TSE:2594 | TSE:1380 | TSE:2917 | TSE:2904 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -10.0% | -4.2% | 0.8% | -1.6% | -4.2% | 1.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.0% | -5.5% | NM- | -12.1% | -11.4% | -1.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 35.2% | 7.5% | 12.1% | -31.1% | -58.1% | 49.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.9% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 3.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 8.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 8.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.54x | 0.26x | 0.59x | 0.86x | 0.33x | 0.64x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 3.0x | 24.5x | 20.4x | 20.6x | 7.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 30.2x | 6.5x | 51.8x | -55.7x | 113.1x | 16.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.0x | 20.4x | 24.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.7x | 7.0x | 14.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 7.6x | 8.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,092 | 3,092 | 3,092 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 22,392 | 23,570 | 24,749 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,145) | (8,145) | (8,145) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 14,247 | 15,425 | 16,604 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 18.4 | 18.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 773.95 | 837.98 | 902.00 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 773.95 | 837.98 | 902.00 | 764.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 1.3% | 9.7% | 18.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2058 | 2916 | 2594 | 1380 | 2917 | 2904 | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,648 | 4,811 | 45,803 | 6,687 | 5,494 | 22,209 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,931 | 3,179 | 5,222 | 696 | 1,781 | 1,201 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,549 | 4,072 | 3,877 | 302 | 674 | 2,117 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,967) | (3,911) | (10,344) | (3,537) | (3,262) | (11,360) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (12) | (318) | (4) | 0 | (103) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,161 | 8,139 | 44,240 | 4,144 | 4,687 | 14,064 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.0 | 11.4 | 21.4 | 4.2 | 5.0 | 18.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1,052.00 | 715.00 | 2,066.00 | 994.00 | 939.00 | 764.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1,052.00 | 715.00 | 2,066.00 | 994.00 | 939.00 | 764.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |