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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 13,0x - 14,4x | 13,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 23,8x - 26,3x | 25,1x |
| Fair Value | ¥529,73 - ¥632,06 | ¥580,90 |
| Upside | -28,7% - -14,9% | -21,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Imuraya Group Co., Ltd. | 2209 | TSE:2209 |
| Shinobu Foods Products Co., Ltd. | 2903 | TSE:2903 |
| Kameda Seika Co.,Ltd. | 2220 | TSE:2220 |
| Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd | 2916 | TSE:2916 |
| Key Coffee Inc. | 2594 | TSE:2594 |
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2209 | 2903 | 2220 | 2916 | 2594 | 2904 | ||
| TSE:2209 | TSE:2903 | TSE:2220 | TSE:2916 | TSE:2594 | TSE:2904 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 12.4% | 16.9% | -3.6% | -8.5% | 8.7% | -1.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 49.9% | 29.3% | -7.5% | -13.9% | NM- | -10.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.4% | -7.1% | 75.9% | 42.0% | 22.4% | 249.6% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | -0.3% | 2.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | -0.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 3.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 4.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.53x | 0.17x | 0.93x | 0.25x | 0.58x | 0.63x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.0x | 2.6x | 8.0x | 2.9x | 24.0x | 7.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | 4.3x | 16.4x | 6.2x | 50.8x | 15.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.3x | 8.9x | 50.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -82.0x | 13.2x | 24.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 13.0x | 13.7x | 14.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,381 | 1,381 | 1,381 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 17,989 | 18,936 | 19,883 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,145) | (8,145) | (8,145) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,844 | 10,791 | 11,738 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 18.4 | 18.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 534.79 | 586.23 | 637.66 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 534.79 | 586.23 | 637.66 | 743.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.0% | -21.1% | -14.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2209 | 2903 | 2220 | 2916 | 2594 | 2904 | |
| Enterprise Value | 26,677 | 9,777 | 92,959 | 4,743 | 44,925 | 21,822 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,844 | 6,380 | 9,562 | 3,179 | 5,222 | 1,201 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,150 | 630 | 0 | 4,072 | 3,877 | 2,117 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,600) | (6,458) | (21,561) | (3,911) | (10,344) | (11,360) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (6) | 0 | (12) | (318) | (103) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 30,066 | 10,323 | 80,960 | 8,071 | 43,362 | 13,677 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 13.1 | 11.9 | 21.1 | 11.4 | 21.4 | 18.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,298.00 | 868.00 | 3,840.00 | 709.00 | 2,025.00 | 743.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,298.00 | 868.00 | 3,840.00 | 709.00 | 2,025.00 | 743.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |