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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16,6x - 18,4x | 17,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 22,1x - 24,4x | 23,2x |
| Fair Value | ¥527,13 - ¥620,40 | ¥573,77 |
| Upside | -28,8% - -16,2% | -22,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Como Co.,Ltd. | 2224 | TSE:2224 |
| Asahimatsu Foods Co., Ltd. | 2911 | TSE:2911 |
| PIETRO Co., Ltd. | 2818 | TSE:2818 |
| Meiji Holdings Co., Ltd. | 2269 | TSE:2269 |
| NittoBest Corporation | 2877 | TSE:2877 |
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2224 | 2911 | 2818 | 2269 | 2877 | 2904 | ||
| TSE:2224 | TSE:2911 | TSE:2818 | TSE:2269 | TSE:2877 | TSE:2904 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -30.0% | -6.4% | -18.2% | -3.8% | -15.5% | -1.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -32.3% | 3.3% | -20.4% | -3.0% | -12.0% | -10.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -19.5% | 9.7% | -18.7% | 0.5% | 13.9% | -17.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 7.6% | 0.9% | -0.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 3.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 7.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.69x | 0.26x | 1.06x | 0.62x | 0.23x | 0.58x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.4x | 2.9x | 18.6x | 5.2x | 5.7x | 7.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 181.7x | 9.1x | 66.1x | 8.5x | 22.7x | 21.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 8.5x | 22.7x | 181.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -82.0x | 13.2x | 24.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.6x | 17.5x | 18.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 960 | 960 | 960 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 15,971 | 16,811 | 17,652 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,570) | (6,570) | (6,570) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,400 | 10,241 | 11,081 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 513.45 | 559.36 | 605.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 513.45 | 559.36 | 605.28 | 740.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -30.6% | -24.4% | -18.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2224 | 2911 | 2818 | 2269 | 2877 | 2904 | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,995 | 2,054 | 11,764 | 720,485 | 13,027 | 20,118 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 271 | 2,098 | 1,176 | 78,191 | 3,500 | 2,034 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 299 | 884 | 534 | 124,790 | 4,048 | 1,837 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,638) | (819) | (1,463) | (47,799) | (10,896) | (10,353) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (74) | 0 | (43,494) | (509) | (89) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,927 | 4,143 | 12,011 | 832,173 | 9,170 | 13,548 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3.5 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 270.9 | 12.1 | 18.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3,145.00 | 2,241.00 | 1,739.00 | 3,072.00 | 758.00 | 740.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,145.00 | 2,241.00 | 1,739.00 | 3,072.00 | 758.00 | 740.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |