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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,8x - 7,5x | 7,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6,8x - 7,6x | 7,2x |
| Fair Value | ¥526,06 - ¥581,44 | ¥553,75 |
| Upside | 52,9% - 69,0% | 61,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Eslead Corporation | 8877 | TSE:8877 |
| KOSE R.E. Co.,Ltd. | 3246 | TSE:3246 |
| Tama Home Co., Ltd. | 1419 | TSE:1419 |
| Tsuchiya Holdings Co., Ltd. | 1840 | TSE:1840 |
| Hoosiers Holdings Co., Ltd. | 3284 | TSE:3284 |
| Nihon House Holdings Co., Ltd. | 1873 | TSE:1873 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 8877 | 3246 | 1419 | 1840 | 3284 | 1873 | ||
| TSE:8877 | TSE:3246 | TSE:1419 | TSE:1840 | TSE:3284 | TSE:1873 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.7% | -11.8% | 10.2% | -8.2% | -0.1% | -10.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 18.7% | -33.1% | 5.5% | -20.0% | 16.6% | -7.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 52.9% | -78.4% | -6.3% | -10.6% | 23.3% | 26.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 12.4% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 15.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 12.2% | 8.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 13.0% | 8.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.61x | 0.82x | 0.49x | 0.18x | 1.43x | 0.50x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 17.8x | 12.3x | 8.8x | 11.0x | 6.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 19.6x | 17.2x | 18.0x | 13.0x | 12.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.8x | 11.0x | 17.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 5.5x | 12.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.8x | 7.1x | 7.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,137 | 3,137 | 3,137 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 21,289 | 22,410 | 23,530 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 21,289 | 22,410 | 23,530 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 532.25 | 560.27 | 588.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 532.25 | 560.27 | 588.28 | 344.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 54.7% | 62.9% | 71.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 8877 | 3246 | 1419 | 1840 | 3284 | 1873 | |
| Enterprise Value | 157,587 | 6,293 | 106,605 | 6,042 | 127,534 | 13,759 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 12,614 | 5,353 | 20,488 | 3,557 | 28,094 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,852 | 96 | 6,919 | 1,640 | 6,056 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (107,169) | (5,124) | (20,049) | (5,491) | (111,793) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (57) | (39) | 0 | (7,833) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 65,884 | 6,561 | 113,924 | 5,748 | 42,058 | 13,759 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15.4 | 10.2 | 29.0 | 25.8 | 35.6 | 40.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4,270.00 | 646.00 | 3,930.00 | 223.00 | 1,183.00 | 344.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4,270.00 | 646.00 | 3,930.00 | 223.00 | 1,183.00 | 344.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |