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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0,7x - 0,8x | 0,8x |
| Fair Value | ¥766,83 - ¥911,75 | ¥839,29 |
| Upside | -20,9% - -5,9% | -13,4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Ichimasa Kamaboko Co., Ltd. | 2904 | TSE:2904 |
| Semba Tohka Industries Co., Ltd | 2916 | TSE:2916 |
| Nitto Fuji Flour Milling Co.,Ltd. | 2003 | TSE:2003 |
| Takizawa Ham Co., Ltd. | 2293 | TSE:2293 |
| Hagoromo Foods Corporation | 2831 | TSE:2831 |
| Akikawa Foods & Farms Co., Ltd. | 1380 | TSE:1380 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2904 | 2916 | 2003 | 2293 | 2831 | 1380 | |||
| TSE:2904 | TSE:2916 | TSE:2003 | TSE:2293 | TSE:2831 | TSE:1380 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.6% | -1.4% | 5.7% | -2.4% | -1.7% | 5.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | -0.7% | 8.7% | -2.5% | -4.1% | 4.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.3% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.8% | 2.6% | 5.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | -0.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.7% | 1.4% | 7.6% | -0.7% | -1.6% | 0.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | -1.1% | 3.8% | -1.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.64x | 0.24x | 0.66x | 0.25x | 0.21x | 0.85x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 16.1x | 6.0x | 9.8x | -22.7x | 5.6x | -55.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.41x | 0.42x | 0.85x | 0.19x | 0.40x | 0.52x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.21x | 0.25x | 0.66x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.83x | 0.88x | 0.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 0.78x | 0.82x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 7,767 | 7,767 | 7,767 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,741 | 6,043 | 6,346 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,543) | (2,543) | (2,543) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,198 | 3,500 | 3,803 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 767.13 | 839.61 | 912.09 | |||||
| FX Rate: JPY/JPY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 767.13 | 839.61 | 912.09 | 969.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -20.8% | -13.4% | -5.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2904 | 2916 | 2003 | 2293 | 2831 | 1380 | |
| Enterprise Value | 22,264 | 4,561 | 47,153 | 6,977 | 15,646 | 6,583 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,201 | 3,179 | 1,053 | 1,527 | 1,573 | 696 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,117 | 4,072 | 13,629 | 2,207 | 16,159 | 302 | |
| (-) Debt | (11,360) | (3,911) | (400) | (5,318) | (3,358) | (3,537) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (103) | (12) | (66) | 0 | 0 | (4) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 14,119 | 7,889 | 61,369 | 5,393 | 30,020 | 4,040 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 18.4 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 4.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 767.00 | 693.00 | 6,740.00 | 2,626.00 | 3,190.00 | 969.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 767.00 | 693.00 | 6,740.00 | 2,626.00 | 3,190.00 | 969.00 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |