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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10,0x - 11,1x | 10,6x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7,8x - 8,6x | 8,2x |
Fair Value | NT$ 84,09 - NT$ 91,91 | NT$ 88 |
Upside | -37,5% - -31,7% | -34,6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Hotai Motor Co.,Ltd. | 2207 | TWSE:2207 |
Wonder Pets Enterprises Corporation | 6968 | TPEX:6968 |
Zhen Yu Hardware Co., Ltd. | 2947 | TPEX:2947 |
Pan German Universal Motors Ltd. | 2247 | TWSE:2247 |
Mister International Enterprise Corp. | 2941 | TPEX:2941 |
Formosa Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. | 5312 | TPEX:5312 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
2207 | 6968 | 2947 | 2247 | 2941 | 5312 | ||
TWSE:2207 | TPEX:6968 | TPEX:2947 | TWSE:2247 | TPEX:2941 | TPEX:5312 | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 11.7% | NM- | 4.0% | 17.6% | NM- | 12.3% | |
3Y CAGR | 9.3% | 52.4% | -4.2% | 13.5% | 23.2% | 35.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 0.8% | 152.0% | 26.3% | 21.7% | -6.1% | 4.0% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 12.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 17.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.9% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 16.9% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.21x | 1.42x | 1.43x | 0.44x | 1.11x | 1.89x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.1x | 9.8x | 18.8x | 7.6x | 10.8x | 14.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 18.2x | 40.6x | 34.2x | 10.9x | 14.9x | 22.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 10.8x | 18.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -24.9x | 6.1x | 14.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.0x | 10.6x | 11.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 505 | 505 | 505 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,072 | 5,339 | 5,606 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 585 | 585 | 585 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 5,657 | 5,924 | 6,191 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 60.1 | 60.1 | 60.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 94.18 | 98.63 | 103.07 | ||||
FX Rate: TWD/TWD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 94.18 | 98.63 | 103.07 | 134.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -30.0% | -26.7% | -23.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2207 | 6968 | 2947 | 2247 | 2941 | 5312 | |
Enterprise Value | 623,906 | 4,086 | 3,104 | 25,436 | 915 | 7,493 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 30,897 | 210 | 267 | 2,928 | 187 | 2,759 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 36,736 | 90 | 0 | 122 | 1 | 586 | |
(-) Debt | (315,311) | (1,484) | (1,734) | (3,829) | (91) | (2,754) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (35,838) | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (6) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 340,390 | 2,901 | 1,638 | 24,657 | 1,011 | 8,078 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 557.1 | 43.6 | 19.3 | 80.7 | 15.4 | 60.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 611.00 | 66.50 | 85.00 | 305.50 | 65.70 | 134.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 611.00 | 66.50 | 85.00 | 305.50 | 65.70 | 134.50 | |
Trading Currency | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | TWD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |