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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 98,8x - 109,2x | 104,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 391,5x - 432,7x | 412,1x |
| Fair Value | ¥25,88 - ¥27,96 | ¥26,92 |
| Upside | -35,6% - -30,4% | -33,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Yinsheng Digifavor Company Limited | 3773 | SEHK:3773 |
| China United Network Communications Limited | 600050 | SHSE:600050 |
| Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., Ltd. | 2148 | SZSE:002148 |
| Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. | TCELL | IBSE:TCELL |
| Cellcom Israel Ltd. | CELJ.F | OTCPK:CELJ.F |
| Wuxi Online Offline Communication Information Technology Co., Ltd. | 300959 | SZSE:300959 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 3773 | 600050 | 2148 | TCELL | CELJ.F | 300959 | ||
| SEHK:3773 | SHSE:600050 | SZSE:002148 | IBSE:TCELL | OTCPK:CELJ.F | SZSE:300959 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 0.1% | NM- | 43.4% | 59.6% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.2% | -2.0% | -19.9% | 66.0% | 23.4% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 74.8% | -18.7% | -102.5% | 41.9% | 44.8% | 176.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 18.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 21.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 21.1% | 8.0% | 0.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 27.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 20.7% | 8.6% | -0.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 27.5% | 3.3% | -0.1% | 28.5% | 10.1% | 1.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.82x | 0.73x | 9.64x | 1.27x | 1.43x | 2.68x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.8x | 4.0x | 234.8x | 3.2x | 6.3x | 111.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.5x | 21.8x | -7519.9x | 4.4x | 14.2x | 165.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -7519.9x | 14.2x | 21.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -141.5x | 35.6x | 102.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 98.8x | 104.0x | 109.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,576 | 1,659 | 1,742 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 485 | 485 | 485 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,061 | 2,144 | 2,227 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 79.8 | 79.8 | 79.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 25.84 | 26.88 | 27.92 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 25.84 | 26.88 | 27.92 | 40.15 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -35.6% | -33.1% | -30.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 3773 | 600050 | 2148 | TCELL | CELJ.F | 300959 | |
| Enterprise Value | 598 | 285,924 | 3,102 | 218,175 | 5,938 | 2,717 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 51 | 50,802 | 530 | 116,625 | 222 | 444 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 78,230 | 213 | 25,160 | 114 | 76 | |
| (-) Debt | (123) | (38,944) | (2) | (150,712) | (2,012) | (27) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 3 | (207,184) | (9) | 0 | 0 | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 529 | 168,828 | 3,833 | 209,248 | 4,262 | 3,203 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 415.0 | 31,264.4 | 555.6 | 2,178.5 | 166.8 | 79.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.27 | 5.40 | 6.90 | 96.05 | 25.55 | 40.15 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.51 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.39 | 5.40 | 6.90 | 96.05 | 7.28 | 40.15 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | CNY | CNY | TRY | USD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.51 | 1.00 | |