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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -171,8x - -189,9x | -180,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 12,3x - 13,5x | 12,9x |
| Fair Value | ¥8,94 - ¥9,79 | ¥9,37 |
| Upside | -31,8% - -25,4% | -28,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Guangdong Topstrong Living Innovation and Integration Co., Ltd. | 300749 | SZSE:300749 |
| Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. | 300155 | SZSE:300155 |
| Guangzhou Echom Sci.&Tech.Co.,Ltd | 2420 | SZSE:002420 |
| Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. | 1238 | SZSE:001238 |
| Yimikang Tech.Group Co., Ltd. | 300249 | SZSE:300249 |
| Marssenger Kitchenware Co., Ltd. | 300894 | SZSE:300894 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 300749 | 300155 | 2420 | 1238 | 300249 | 300894 | ||
| SZSE:300749 | SZSE:300155 | SZSE:002420 | SZSE:001238 | SZSE:300249 | SZSE:300894 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -2.3% | -14.7% | NM- | -24.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -9.8% | -32.7% | NM- | -45.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -173.8% | -18.6% | 218.9% | 3.5% | 48.3% | -105.1% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.5% | -6.4% | 2.4% | 7.3% | -5.4% | 17.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.4% | -14.9% | -5.1% | 4.1% | -15.2% | 18.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -6.2% | -29.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | -4.1% | 5.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.2% | -36.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | -3.9% | -1.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.65x | 11.24x | 1.06x | 2.93x | 5.09x | 4.18x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -31.9x | -31.0x | 29.8x | 74.3x | -129.2x | -258.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -15.7x | -26.0x | 89.5x | -1319.8x | -116.7x | -40.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -129.2x | -31.0x | 74.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.2x | 27.2x | 38.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -171.8x | -180.9x | -189.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (19) | (19) | (19) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,309 | 3,483 | 3,657 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 375 | 375 | 375 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,684 | 3,858 | 4,032 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 407.7 | 407.7 | 407.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.03 | 9.46 | 9.89 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.03 | 9.46 | 9.89 | 13.12 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -31.1% | -27.9% | -24.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 300749 | 300155 | 2420 | 1238 | 300249 | 300894 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,664 | 2,155 | 2,991 | 4,051 | 6,159 | 4,974 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 226 | 489 | 90 | 335 | 231 | 733 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 111 | 245 | 110 | 6 | 0 | 149 | |
| (-) Debt | (251) | (4) | (551) | (183) | (468) | (507) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (3) | (18) | (35) | (0) | (8) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,747 | 2,868 | 2,606 | 4,209 | 5,914 | 5,349 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 201.1 | 561.2 | 406.0 | 110.0 | 438.0 | 407.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.69 | 5.11 | 6.42 | 38.26 | 13.50 | 13.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.69 | 5.11 | 6.42 | 38.26 | 13.50 | 13.12 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |