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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 54,2x - 60,0x | 57,1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 33,6x - 37,1x | 35,3x |
Fair Value | ¥10,19 - ¥11,26 | ¥10,72 |
Upside | -59,3% - -55,0% | -57,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Urovo Technology Co., Ltd. | 300531 | SZSE:300531 |
Shenzhen Sunnypol Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd. | 2876 | SZSE:002876 |
Ganzhou Yihao New Materials Co., Ltd. | 301176 | SZSE:301176 |
Beijing Hanbang Technology Corp. | 300449 | SZSE:300449 |
Shenzhen Jove Enterprise Limited | 300814 | SZSE:300814 |
Shenzhen Emperor Technology Co., Ltd. | 300546 | SZSE:300546 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
300531 | 2876 | 301176 | 300449 | 300814 | 300546 | ||
SZSE:300531 | SZSE:002876 | SZSE:301176 | SZSE:300449 | SZSE:300814 | SZSE:300546 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -2.4% | NM- | NM- | -9.0% | -23.6% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -34.8% | NM- | NM- | -18.3% | 93.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -120.1% | 120.2% | -10.9% | 69.7% | 197.1% | 174.6% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% | -66.0% | 5.4% | -0.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.5% | 1.8% | -3.3% | -76.1% | 1.6% | -10.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -1.5% | 3.7% | -3.0% | -17.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -1.1% | 4.4% | -2.7% | -17.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 4.01x | 2.04x | 1.84x | 18.44x | 3.49x | 7.57x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -1643.2x | 21.0x | 91.3x | -134.7x | 37.7x | 81.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -353.6x | 46.9x | -67.1x | -105.8x | 88.0x | 130.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -353.6x | -67.1x | 88.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -144.3x | 87.2x | 130.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 54.2x | 57.1x | 60.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 32 | 32 | 32 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,740 | 1,832 | 1,924 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,740 | 1,832 | 1,924 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 186.6 | 186.6 | 186.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 9.32 | 9.82 | 10.31 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.32 | 9.82 | 10.31 | 25.00 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -62.7% | -60.7% | -58.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 300531 | 2876 | 301176 | 300449 | 300814 | 300546 | |
Enterprise Value | 5,033 | 5,823 | 2,741 | 3,251 | 5,595 | 4,666 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,039 | 357 | 155 | 150 | 501 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 76 | 229 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (554) | (2,287) | (210) | (84) | (958) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,593 | 4,123 | 2,686 | 3,318 | 5,146 | 4,666 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 312.3 | 173.5 | 165.5 | 386.7 | 191.4 | 186.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 17.91 | 23.76 | 16.23 | 8.58 | 26.88 | 25.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 17.91 | 23.76 | 16.23 | 8.58 | 26.88 | 25.00 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |