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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 16,5x - 18,3x | 17,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14,1x - 15,6x | 14,9x |
| Fair Value | ¥15,35 - ¥18,32 | ¥16,84 |
| Upside | -9,7% - 7,7% | -1,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jilin Liyuan Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 2501 | SZSE:002501 |
| Zhe Jiang Kangsheng Co.,Ltd. | 2418 | SZSE:002418 |
| Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd. | 601015 | SHSE:601015 |
| China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co.,Ltd. | 758 | SZSE:000758 |
| Shandong Iron and Steel Company Ltd. | 600022 | SHSE:600022 |
| Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. | 300428 | SZSE:300428 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2501 | 2418 | 601015 | 758 | 600022 | 300428 | ||
| SZSE:002501 | SZSE:002418 | SHSE:601015 | SZSE:000758 | SHSE:600022 | SZSE:300428 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 7.8% | NM- | 5.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 16.6% | NM- | 10.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 25.6% | -100.8% | -219.9% | 52.4% | -3071.9% | 27.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -147.1% | -2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 4.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -48.7% | 2.3% | -1.9% | 6.9% | -0.1% | 3.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -34.0% | 2.2% | -7.7% | 7.4% | -3.1% | 3.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -47.9% | 0.0% | -7.7% | 6.7% | -3.1% | 3.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 21.83x | 1.47x | 0.74x | 1.26x | 0.35x | 0.69x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -105.1x | 65.0x | -95.5x | 14.3x | -157.9x | 11.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -45.5x | -4436.4x | -9.6x | 18.8x | -11.5x | 17.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4436.4x | -11.5x | 18.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 16.2x | 24.7x | 27.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 16.5x | 17.4x | 18.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,060 | 1,060 | 1,060 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 17,506 | 18,428 | 19,349 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8,071) | (8,071) | (8,071) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,436 | 10,357 | 11,278 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 630.7 | 630.7 | 630.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.96 | 16.42 | 17.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.96 | 16.42 | 17.88 | 17.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -12.0% | -3.4% | 5.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2501 | 2418 | 601015 | 758 | 600022 | 300428 | |
| Enterprise Value | 7,405 | 3,511 | 10,780 | 12,776 | 19,394 | 18,792 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 7 | 170 | 1,453 | 2,730 | 6,835 | 3,193 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 25 | 163 | 1,668 | 1,812 | 0 | 85 | |
| (-) Debt | (59) | (468) | (6,004) | (4,658) | (12,446) | (11,134) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (5) | (171) | (1,933) | (3,386) | 0 | (214) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,373 | 3,205 | 5,964 | 9,274 | 13,783 | 10,721 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,544.7 | 1,136.4 | 2,042.5 | 1,969.0 | 10,602.7 | 630.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.08 | 2.82 | 2.92 | 4.71 | 1.30 | 17.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.08 | 2.82 | 2.92 | 4.71 | 1.30 | 17.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |