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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1,1x - 1,2x | 1,1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 1,0x - 1,1x | 1,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥12,03 - ¥13,61 | ¥12,82 |
| Upside | 24,2% - 40,5% | 32,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Chinagreen Biological Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 300970 | SZSE:300970 |
| HaiXin Foods Co.,Ltd | 2702 | SZSE:002702 |
| Henan Shuanghui Investment & Development Co.,Ltd. | 895 | SZSE:000895 |
| Gansu Yasheng Industrial (Group) Co., Ltd. | 600108 | SHSE:600108 |
| Shandong Homey Aquatic Development Co.,Ltd. | 600467 | SHSE:600467 |
| ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd. | 300138 | SZSE:300138 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 300970 | 2702 | 895 | 600108 | 600467 | 300138 | |||
| SZSE:300970 | SZSE:002702 | SZSE:000895 | SHSE:600108 | SHSE:600467 | SZSE:300138 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 20.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 17.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 17.8% | 2.2% | -6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 20.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.6% | 3.8% | -10.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 3.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.2% | 1.6% | 10.2% | 2.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 3.3% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 15.0% | 7.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 0.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 8.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -8.2% | -1.2% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.69x | 1.41x | 1.60x | 2.18x | 4.01x | 0.88x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -20.7x | -115.7x | 15.6x | 46.3x | 46.0x | 19.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.40x | 1.29x | 1.56x | 1.37x | 2.54x | 0.67x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.41x | 1.69x | 4.01x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 1.52x | 2.67x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.07x | 1.12x | 1.18x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 6,927 | 6,927 | 6,927 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,384 | 7,772 | 8,161 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,425) | (1,425) | (1,425) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,959 | 6,347 | 6,736 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 483.1 | 483.1 | 483.1 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.33 | 13.14 | 13.94 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.33 | 13.14 | 13.94 | 9.69 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 27.3% | 35.6% | 43.9% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 300970 | 2702 | 895 | 600108 | 600467 | 300138 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,689 | 2,424 | 93,038 | 8,765 | 5,701 | 6,107 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 337 | 223 | 8,670 | 390 | 400 | 2,552 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 6 | 262 | 207 | 186 | 106 | |
| (-) Debt | (600) | (405) | (10,719) | (3,814) | (2,723) | (4,039) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (25) | (33) | (234) | 1 | (14) | (44) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,401 | 2,215 | 91,017 | 5,549 | 3,550 | 4,681 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 117.9 | 548.3 | 3,464.7 | 1,946.9 | 1,461.0 | 483.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.89 | 4.04 | 26.27 | 2.85 | 2.43 | 9.69 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.89 | 4.04 | 26.27 | 2.85 | 2.43 | 9.69 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |