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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3,7x - 4,1x | 3,9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,9x - 3,2x | 3,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥5,21 - ¥5,66 | ¥5,43 |
| Upside | 24,5% - 35,3% | 29,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Genimous Technology Co., Ltd. | 676 | SZSE:000676 |
| Beijing Thunisoft Co., Ltd. | 300271 | SZSE:300271 |
| New Trend International Logis-Tech Co.,Ltd. | 300532 | SZSE:300532 |
| Dmall Inc. | 2586 | SEHK:2586 |
| Beijing SuperMap Software Co., Ltd. | 300036 | SZSE:300036 |
| YLZ Information Technology Co.,Ltd | 300096 | SZSE:300096 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 676 | 300271 | 300532 | 2586 | 300036 | 300096 | |||
| SZSE:000676 | SZSE:300271 | SZSE:300532 | SEHK:2586 | SZSE:300036 | SZSE:300096 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -21.2% | -14.2% | 27.1% | NM- | -2.9% | -10.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -16.5% | -34.3% | 14.0% | 29.9% | -7.2% | -13.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.4% | -8.4% | -25.7% | 17.3% | -24.3% | -30.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -0.1% | -10.3% | 10.4% | -29.8% | 7.2% | -13.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.4% | -29.4% | 13.6% | -19.3% | 5.3% | -9.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.5% | -25.4% | 12.1% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -7.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.2% | -23.0% | 10.7% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -7.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.28x | 2.58x | 1.90x | 4.36x | 3.82x | 2.60x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 195.6x | -11.2x | 17.7x | -256.2x | -183.1x | -34.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.83x | 3.65x | 2.40x | 4.50x | 4.66x | 3.22x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.90x | 2.58x | 4.36x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.60x | 3.34x | 4.24x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.72x | 3.91x | 4.11x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 558 | 558 | 558 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,076 | 2,185 | 2,295 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 401 | 401 | 401 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,477 | 2,586 | 2,696 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 430.0 | 430.0 | 430.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.76 | 6.01 | 6.27 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.76 | 6.01 | 6.27 | 4.18 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 37.8% | 43.9% | 50.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 676 | 300271 | 300532 | 2586 | 300036 | 300096 | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,347 | 4,283 | 4,387 | 8,100 | 5,555 | 1,396 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,528 | 1,709 | 1,181 | 890 | 1,353 | 381 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 973 | 165 | 0 | 1 | 105 | 86 | |
| (-) Debt | (355) | (23) | (42) | (557) | (31) | (12) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (144) | (86) | 0 | (75) | (1) | (54) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 10,348 | 6,048 | 5,526 | 8,358 | 6,981 | 1,797 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,252.8 | 811.9 | 453.3 | 895.9 | 482.8 | 430.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 8.26 | 7.45 | 12.19 | 9.33 | 14.46 | 4.18 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.26 | 7.45 | 12.19 | 10.16 | 14.46 | 4.18 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |