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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3,1x - 3,4x | 3,3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3,0x - 3,3x | 3,1x |
| Fair Value | ¥8,70 - ¥9,67 | ¥9,18 |
| Upside | -13,6% - -3,9% | -8,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ZHEJIANG DIBAY ELECTRIC CO.,Ltd. | 603320 | SHSE:603320 |
| Kaishan Group Co., Ltd. | 300257 | SZSE:300257 |
| Morimatsu International Holdings Company Limited | 2155 | SEHK:2155 |
| Jiangsu Yawei Machine Tool Co., Ltd. | 2559 | SZSE:002559 |
| Fujian South Highway Machinery Co., Ltd. | 603280 | SHSE:603280 |
| Jiangxi Huawu Brake Co.,Ltd. | 300095 | SZSE:300095 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 603320 | 300257 | 2155 | 2559 | 603280 | 300095 | |||
| SHSE:603320 | SZSE:300257 | SEHK:2155 | SZSE:002559 | SHSE:603280 | SZSE:300095 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.8% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 2.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -2.4% | 6.7% | 17.5% | 1.0% | -8.0% | -6.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.7% | 0.8% | -5.6% | -0.5% | -18.6% | -3.8% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.3% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.8% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 3.1% | 6.7% | -10.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.7% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 2.6% | 6.2% | -11.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.16x | 3.41x | 0.69x | 2.20x | 1.90x | 3.43x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.9x | 23.8x | 5.7x | 83.2x | 30.6x | -29.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.36x | 2.20x | 1.05x | 2.48x | 2.82x | 3.26x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.69x | 2.16x | 3.41x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 2.48x | 2.83x | 5.98x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.11x | 3.27x | 3.43x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,228 | 1,228 | 1,228 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,815 | 4,016 | 4,217 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (206) | (206) | (206) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,609 | 3,810 | 4,011 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 397.9 | 397.9 | 397.9 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.07 | 9.58 | 10.08 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.07 | 9.58 | 10.08 | 10.06 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -9.8% | -4.8% | 0.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 603320 | 300257 | 2155 | 2559 | 603280 | 300095 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,304 | 14,566 | 4,722 | 4,325 | 1,796 | 4,209 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 225 | 3,305 | 2,992 | 1,071 | 878 | 739 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 97 | 78 | 407 | 0 | 70 | |
| (-) Debt | (9) | (8,458) | (296) | (929) | (1) | (890) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 1 | (41) | (227) | 1 | 0 | (126) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,521 | 9,469 | 7,269 | 4,876 | 2,672 | 4,002 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 149.1 | 993.6 | 1,245.4 | 543.6 | 108.4 | 397.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 16.90 | 9.53 | 5.84 | 8.97 | 24.65 | 10.06 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.90 | 9.53 | 6.38 | 8.97 | 24.65 | 10.06 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |