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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 34,0x - 37,6x | 35,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,5x - 10,5x | 10,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥3,87 - ¥4,35 | ¥4,11 |
| Upside | -41,9% - -34,6% | -38,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation | 600871 | SHSE:600871 |
| Shengli Oil & Gas Pipe Holdings Limited | 1080 | SEHK:1080 |
| Dezhou United Petroleum Technology Co.,Ltd. | 301158 | SZSE:301158 |
| Chu Kong Petroleum and Natural Gas Steel Pipe Holdings Limited | 1938 | SEHK:1938 |
| Sinopec Oilfield Equipment Corporation | 852 | SZSE:000852 |
| Haimo Technologies Group Corp. | 300084 | SZSE:300084 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 600871 | 1080 | 301158 | 1938 | 852 | 300084 | ||
| SHSE:600871 | SEHK:1080 | SZSE:301158 | SEHK:1938 | SZSE:000852 | SZSE:300084 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -0.6% | NM- | 3.2% | NM- | 14.4% | -7.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | NM- | 8.7% | NM- | 3.5% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.3% | 56.0% | 22.8% | 139.3% | -4.9% | -54.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | -5.3% | 19.3% | -3.3% | 4.6% | 10.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 5.7% | -12.1% | 18.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 13.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.3% | -5.5% | 17.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 15.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | -5.5% | 17.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 9.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 0.27x | 2.49x | 0.68x | 1.00x | 5.43x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.9x | -4.8x | 13.9x | 13.7x | 22.4x | 58.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.1x | -3.0x | 16.3x | 24.6x | 57.1x | 160.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -4.8x | 13.7x | 22.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -9.7x | 14.7x | 63.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 34.0x | 35.8x | 37.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 65 | 65 | 65 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,206 | 2,322 | 2,438 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (366) | (366) | (366) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,841 | 1,957 | 2,073 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 510.2 | 510.2 | 510.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.61 | 3.83 | 4.06 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.61 | 3.83 | 4.06 | 6.65 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -45.8% | -42.3% | -38.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600871 | 1080 | 301158 | 1938 | 852 | 300084 | |
| Enterprise Value | 46,396 | 153 | 1,741 | 2,005 | 7,824 | 3,759 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,868 | 128 | 615 | 53 | 430 | 164 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 368 | 170 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (23,861) | (311) | (0) | (1,873) | (2,491) | (516) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (9) | (14) | 0 | (165) | (14) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 27,772 | 131 | 2,342 | 186 | 5,639 | 3,393 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 15,175.8 | 3,874.4 | 148.1 | 1,011.1 | 941.5 | 510.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.83 | 0.03 | 15.81 | 0.18 | 5.99 | 6.65 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.83 | 0.04 | 15.81 | 0.20 | 5.99 | 6.65 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |