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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -21,3x - -23,5x | -22,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 6,0x - 6,7x | 6,4x |
| Fair Value | ¥6,01 - ¥6,61 | ¥6,31 |
| Upside | -27,5% - -20,2% | -23,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sino Geophysical Co., Ltd | 300191 | SZSE:300191 |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation | 600871 | SHSE:600871 |
| Tong Petrotech Corp. | 300164 | SZSE:300164 |
| Sinopec Oilfield Equipment Corporation | 852 | SZSE:000852 |
| Zhejiang Renzhi Co., Ltd. | 2629 | SZSE:002629 |
| Haimo Technologies Group Corp. | 300084 | SZSE:300084 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 300191 | 600871 | 300164 | 852 | 2629 | 300084 | ||
| SZSE:300191 | SHSE:600871 | SZSE:300164 | SZSE:000852 | SZSE:002629 | SZSE:300084 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 1.5% | -14.4% | 12.9% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 22.9% | NM- | 1.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 75.8% | 59.9% | 17.9% | -10.4% | 154.8% | -249.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.2% | 1.8% | -9.7% | 1.9% | -20.2% | -15.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -23.8% | 1.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | -24.7% | 9.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -7.9% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 6.3% | -19.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 8.0% | -18.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 14.31x | 0.62x | 2.40x | 1.13x | 10.96x | 6.66x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 76.2x | 9.6x | 21.8x | 25.4x | 116.6x | -59.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -221.2x | 24.8x | 48.9x | 64.7x | 136.5x | -35.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -221.2x | 48.9x | 136.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -53.7x | 40.9x | 133.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -21.3x | -22.4x | -23.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (116) | (116) | (116) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,463 | 2,593 | 2,722 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 155 | 155 | 155 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,618 | 2,747 | 2,877 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 510.2 | 510.2 | 510.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.13 | 5.38 | 5.64 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.13 | 5.38 | 5.64 | 8.29 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -38.1% | -35.1% | -32.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 300191 | 600871 | 300164 | 852 | 2629 | 300084 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,940 | 49,577 | 2,942 | 8,867 | 3,499 | 4,075 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 320 | 4,868 | 331 | 430 | 7 | 625 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1 | 368 | 226 | 43 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,328) | (23,861) | (282) | (2,491) | (9) | (455) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | 0 | (22) | (165) | (15) | (15) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5,933 | 30,952 | 3,195 | 6,683 | 3,481 | 4,230 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 320.0 | 15,172.8 | 588.5 | 941.3 | 426.1 | 510.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 18.54 | 2.04 | 5.43 | 7.10 | 8.17 | 8.29 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.54 | 2.04 | 5.43 | 7.10 | 8.17 | 8.29 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |