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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 596,6x - 659,5x | 628,0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,0x - 8,8x | 8,4x |
Fair Value | ¥14,85 - ¥16,27 | ¥15,56 |
Upside | -19,0% - -11,3% | -15,1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Tianjin Jingwei Huikai Optoelectronic Co., Ltd. | 300120 | SZSE:300120 |
Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd. | 688001 | SHSE:688001 |
Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. | 688320 | SHSE:688320 |
Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. | 601138 | SHSE:601138 |
Hitevision Co., Ltd. | 2955 | SZSE:002955 |
Beijing Highlander Digital Technology Co., Ltd. | 300065 | SZSE:300065 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
300120 | 688001 | 688320 | 601138 | 2955 | 300065 | ||
SZSE:300120 | SHSE:688001 | SHSE:688320 | SHSE:601138 | SZSE:002955 | SZSE:300065 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -10.1% | NM- | NM- | 6.8% | -9.2% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | 13.2% | NM- | NM- | 9.2% | -2.3% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 59.0% | -327.8% | -2108.8% | 20.1% | -57.2% | 125.7% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | -6.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.4% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.4% | -8.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.8% | -11.9% | -23.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | -1.3% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.9% | -12.5% | -23.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.30x | 6.19x | 7.82x | 0.53x | 1.15x | 18.03x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.9x | -162.7x | -47.9x | 11.2x | 19.7x | 189.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 45.2x | -49.3x | -33.1x | 12.8x | 25.8x | 847.1x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -49.3x | 12.8x | 45.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -59.2x | 159.5x | 273.9x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 596.6x | 628.0x | 659.5x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 15 | 15 | 15 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,681 | 9,138 | 9,595 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 992 | 992 | 992 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 9,673 | 10,130 | 10,587 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 720.5 | 720.5 | 720.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 13.43 | 14.06 | 14.69 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13.43 | 14.06 | 14.69 | 18.34 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.8% | -23.3% | -19.9% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 300120 | 688001 | 688320 | 601138 | 2955 | 300065 | |
Enterprise Value | 4,009 | 11,186 | 6,500 | 344,444 | 4,009 | 12,222 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 849 | 513 | 83 | 92,249 | 1,861 | 936 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 496 | 142 | 31 | 6,919 | 266 | 104 | |
(-) Debt | (797) | (1,204) | (326) | (67,217) | (206) | (47) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (5) | 0 | 2 | (466) | (33) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 4,551 | 10,636 | 6,288 | 375,928 | 5,898 | 13,214 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 575.4 | 443.7 | 148.4 | 19,858.9 | 234.2 | 720.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.91 | 23.97 | 42.37 | 18.93 | 25.18 | 18.34 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.91 | 23.97 | 42.37 | 18.93 | 25.18 | 18.34 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |