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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 33,1x - 36,6x | 34,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 15,5x - 17,1x | 16,3x |
| Fair Value | ¥4,07 - ¥4,63 | ¥4,35 |
| Upside | -15,2% - -3,4% | -9,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Qingdao Hiron Commercial Cold Chain Co., Ltd. | 603187 | SHSE:603187 |
| Longhua Technology Group Co.,Ltd. | 300263 | SZSE:300263 |
| Guangzhou Huayan Precision Machinery Co.,Ltd. | 301138 | SZSE:301138 |
| Create Technology & Science Co.,Ltd. | 551 | SZSE:000551 |
| ShenZhen QiangRui Precision Technology Co., Ltd. | 301128 | SZSE:301128 |
| Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd | 300021 | SZSE:300021 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 603187 | 300263 | 301138 | 551 | 301128 | 300021 | ||
| SHSE:603187 | SZSE:300263 | SZSE:301138 | SZSE:000551 | SZSE:301128 | SZSE:300021 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.4% | -0.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | -12.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 12.1% | -7.5% | -2.2% | 17.2% | 30.5% | -22.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -12.5% | 30.7% | 58.1% | 29.4% | 165.0% | -28.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.3% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.6% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 3.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.4% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 3.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.86x | 2.61x | 5.72x | 1.07x | 3.52x | 1.21x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.4x | 20.7x | 28.1x | 9.5x | 28.4x | 30.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 28.0x | 34.4x | 12.3x | 34.4x | 40.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 6.9x | 28.0x | 34.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 25.0x | 40.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 33.1x | 34.8x | 36.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 133 | 133 | 133 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 4,399 | 4,630 | 4,862 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,158) | (1,158) | (1,158) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,241 | 3,472 | 3,704 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 883.7 | 883.7 | 883.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.67 | 3.93 | 4.19 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.67 | 3.93 | 4.19 | 4.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -23.6% | -18.1% | -12.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 603187 | 300263 | 301138 | 551 | 301128 | 300021 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,471 | 7,077 | 3,743 | 4,494 | 4,559 | 5,400 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,905 | 807 | 563 | 1,273 | 412 | 1,396 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 178 | 359 | 32 | 638 | 0 | 517 | |
| (-) Debt | (5) | (1,999) | (25) | (361) | (253) | (2,783) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (28) | (148) | (8) | (1,083) | (62) | (287) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,521 | 6,095 | 4,304 | 4,961 | 4,656 | 4,242 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 386.4 | 891.1 | 120.0 | 401.3 | 103.4 | 883.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 11.70 | 6.84 | 35.87 | 12.36 | 45.01 | 4.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.70 | 6.84 | 35.87 | 12.36 | 45.01 | 4.80 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |