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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 30,5x - 33,7x | 32,1x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 16,1x - 17,8x | 17,0x |
Fair Value | ¥3,19 - ¥3,68 | ¥3,44 |
Upside | -28,7% - -17,9% | -23,3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 301151 | SZSE:301151 |
Nanjing Inform Storage Equipment (Group) Co., Ltd. | 603066 | SHSE:603066 |
WELLE Environmental Group Co.,Ltd | 300190 | SZSE:300190 |
Jiangsu Newamstar Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd | 300509 | SZSE:300509 |
Hwaway Technology Corporation Limited | 1380 | SZSE:001380 |
Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd | 300021 | SZSE:300021 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
301151 | 603066 | 300190 | 300509 | 1380 | 300021 | ||
SZSE:301151 | SHSE:603066 | SZSE:300190 | SZSE:300509 | SZSE:001380 | SZSE:300021 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -9.9% | 12.5% | NM- | -2.9% | 47.5% | -3.5% | |
3Y CAGR | -16.2% | 31.9% | NM- | -23.6% | 64.1% | -2.1% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -36.1% | 30.9% | -1.7% | -72.8% | 39.4% | -41.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.2% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 7.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.7% | 7.9% | -10.7% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 6.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 8.5% | -8.7% | 3.7% | 13.0% | 5.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 5.6% | 11.2% | -12.4% | 0.9% | 13.0% | 3.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.39x | 2.01x | 2.01x | 1.82x | 2.60x | 1.43x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.9x | 15.8x | 30.8x | 51.5x | 16.6x | 30.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 24.6x | 18.0x | -16.1x | 193.7x | 20.0x | 41.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -16.1x | 20.0x | 193.7x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 15.0x | 23.2x | 26.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 30.5x | 32.1x | 33.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 122 | 122 | 122 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,708 | 3,903 | 4,098 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,191) | (1,191) | (1,191) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,517 | 2,712 | 2,907 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 844.0 | 844.0 | 844.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 2.98 | 3.21 | 3.44 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.98 | 3.21 | 3.44 | 4.48 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -33.4% | -28.3% | -23.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 301151 | 603066 | 300190 | 300509 | 1380 | 300021 | |
Enterprise Value | 1,339 | 3,014 | 4,167 | 1,824 | 4,837 | 4,972 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,215 | 382 | 553 | 555 | 486 | 1,355 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1 | 20 | 511 | 15 | 0 | 484 | |
(-) Debt | (202) | (229) | (2,925) | (207) | (127) | (2,765) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (6) | (123) | (38) | (21) | (265) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,352 | 3,180 | 2,183 | 2,149 | 5,174 | 3,781 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 170.3 | 294.2 | 750.2 | 296.4 | 182.4 | 844.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 13.81 | 10.81 | 2.91 | 7.25 | 28.36 | 4.48 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.81 | 10.81 | 2.91 | 7.25 | 28.36 | 4.48 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |