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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -15,9x - -17,6x | -16,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 26,6x - 29,4x | 28,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥20,21 - ¥22,09 | ¥21,15 |
| Upside | 2,3% - 11,8% | 7,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd. | 688039 | SHSE:688039 |
| Hangzhou Raycloud Technology Co.,Ltd | 688365 | SHSE:688365 |
| YGSOFT Inc. | 2063 | SZSE:002063 |
| Sinodata Co., Ltd. | 2657 | SZSE:002657 |
| Beijing Global Safety Technology Co., Ltd. | 300523 | SZSE:300523 |
| Jilin University Zhengyuan Information Technologies Co., Ltd. | 3029 | SZSE:003029 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 688039 | 688365 | 2063 | 2657 | 300523 | 3029 | ||
| SHSE:688039 | SHSE:688365 | SZSE:002063 | SZSE:002657 | SZSE:300523 | SZSE:003029 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 4.8% | NM- | -1.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -1.1% | NM- | -3.7% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 31.8% | -30.6% | -15.8% | -162.4% | -428.0% | -254.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -13.6% | -11.1% | 14.7% | -6.1% | 4.5% | -4.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -50.6% | -14.1% | 15.0% | -2.7% | 2.8% | -8.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -37.1% | -18.1% | 12.6% | -9.4% | 7.5% | -45.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -37.1% | -18.1% | 12.6% | -14.8% | -0.4% | -47.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 10.50x | 10.19x | 4.26x | 5.34x | 2.54x | 9.13x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -33.6x | -61.8x | 20.9x | -38.7x | -232.8x | -19.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -28.3x | -56.2x | 34.0x | -36.0x | -689.8x | -19.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -689.8x | -36.0x | 34.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -64.9x | 24.5x | 121.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -15.9x | -16.7x | -17.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (175) | (175) | (175) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,790 | 2,937 | 3,083 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 432 | 432 | 432 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,222 | 3,369 | 3,516 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 188.4 | 188.4 | 188.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 17.10 | 17.88 | 18.66 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 17.10 | 17.88 | 18.66 | 19.76 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -13.5% | -9.5% | -5.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 688039 | 688365 | 2063 | 2657 | 300523 | 3029 | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,140 | 4,815 | 10,152 | 4,650 | 4,817 | 3,291 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 142 | 286 | 944 | 669 | 625 | 313 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 69 | 653 | 68 | 198 | |
| (-) Debt | (109) | (173) | (57) | (3) | (791) | (28) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (174) | (0) | (289) | (51) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,173 | 4,927 | 10,935 | 5,968 | 4,429 | 3,723 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 110.6 | 422.2 | 1,905.1 | 340.1 | 232.6 | 188.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 28.69 | 11.67 | 5.74 | 17.55 | 19.04 | 19.76 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 28.69 | 11.67 | 5.74 | 17.55 | 19.04 | 19.76 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |