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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 23,1x - 25,5x | 24,3x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 25,6x - 28,2x | 26,9x |
| Fair Value | ¥13,60 - ¥14,96 | ¥14,28 |
| Upside | 9,7% - 20,6% | 15,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Co., Ltd. | 2652 | SZSE:002652 |
| Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. | 301501 | SZSE:301501 |
| Zhejiang Jinsheng New Materials Co.,Ltd. | 300849 | SZSE:300849 |
| Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corporation | 1820 | SEHK:1820 |
| Guangdong New Grand Long Packing Co., Ltd. | 2836 | SZSE:002836 |
| Guangdong Tengen Industrial Group Co.,Ltd. | 3003 | SZSE:003003 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2652 | 301501 | 300849 | 1820 | 2836 | 3003 | ||
| SZSE:002652 | SZSE:301501 | SZSE:300849 | SEHK:1820 | SZSE:002836 | SZSE:003003 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -44.4% | 25.5% | -30.4% | -14.6% | 0.5% | -1.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -43.5% | 35.7% | -16.7% | -14.8% | 50.1% | 39.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -77.3% | NM | 525.7% | -33.2% | 141.7% | -9.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.7% | 19.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 19.2% | 6.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 20.9% | -2.3% | 6.7% | 17.5% | 7.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.3% | 20.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 23.9% | 9.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.5% | 19.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 23.8% | 9.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.64x | 5.33x | 6.10x | 0.92x | 4.40x | 1.92x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 920.5x | 27.0x | 145.2x | 21.7x | 18.5x | 20.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -115.3x | 34.8x | -87.1x | 161.5x | 21.5x | 35.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.5x | 27.0x | 920.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.9x | 23.4x | 51.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.1x | 24.3x | 25.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 102 | 102 | 102 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,342 | 2,465 | 2,588 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 121 | 121 | 121 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,463 | 2,586 | 2,709 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 174.4 | 174.4 | 174.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 14.12 | 14.82 | 15.53 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.12 | 14.82 | 15.53 | 12.40 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 13.8% | 19.5% | 25.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2652 | 301501 | 300849 | 1820 | 2836 | 3003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,503 | 8,931 | 2,075 | 1,977 | 1,760 | 2,042 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 20 | 1,136 | 103 | 124 | 233 | 341 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (171) | (377) | (41) | (998) | (1) | (220) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (71) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,495 | 9,621 | 2,138 | 1,103 | 1,992 | 2,163 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 512.1 | 102.0 | 150.0 | 300.6 | 223.1 | 174.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.92 | 94.32 | 14.25 | 3.67 | 8.93 | 12.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.92 | 94.32 | 14.25 | 4.00 | 8.93 | 12.40 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |