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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 24,9x - 27,5x | 26,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 34,2x - 37,8x | 36,0x |
| Fair Value | ¥8,87 - ¥9,73 | ¥9,30 |
| Upside | -30,2% - -23,4% | -26,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Co., Ltd. | 2652 | SZSE:002652 |
| Hefei Hengxin Life Science and Technology Co., Ltd. | 301501 | SZSE:301501 |
| Zhejiang Jinsheng New Materials Co.,Ltd. | 300849 | SZSE:300849 |
| Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corporation | 1820 | SEHK:1820 |
| Guangdong New Grand Long Packing Co., Ltd. | 2836 | SZSE:002836 |
| Guangdong Tengen Industrial Group Co.,Ltd. | 3003 | SZSE:003003 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2652 | 301501 | 300849 | 1820 | 2836 | 3003 | ||
| SZSE:002652 | SZSE:301501 | SZSE:300849 | SEHK:1820 | SZSE:002836 | SZSE:003003 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 24.4% | NM- | -38.6% | 7.4% | -7.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 34.3% | NM- | -47.2% | 98.7% | 233.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -26.4% | NM | -5.4% | -78.7% | 194.2% | -11.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.5% | 15.2% | -3.8% | 3.7% | 10.8% | 3.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.4% | 17.9% | -14.1% | 2.8% | 10.5% | 4.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -3.2% | 16.0% | -8.6% | 0.6% | 20.3% | 5.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.0% | 15.3% | -8.7% | 0.6% | 20.4% | 5.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.77x | 4.84x | 6.28x | 0.92x | 4.41x | 1.96x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 945.6x | 24.6x | 324.1x | 21.8x | 18.5x | 20.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -118.5x | 31.6x | -72.5x | 161.7x | 21.6x | 36.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -118.5x | 21.6x | 161.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -442.9x | 30.4x | 87.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 24.9x | 26.2x | 27.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 57 | 57 | 57 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,425 | 1,500 | 1,575 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 121 | 121 | 121 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,546 | 1,621 | 1,696 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 174.4 | 174.4 | 174.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.86 | 9.29 | 9.72 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.86 | 9.29 | 9.72 | 12.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -30.2% | -26.8% | -23.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2652 | 301501 | 300849 | 1820 | 2836 | 3003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,544 | 8,118 | 2,163 | 1,979 | 1,764 | 2,094 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 20 | 1,136 | 103 | 124 | 233 | 341 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (171) | (377) | (41) | (998) | (1) | (220) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (71) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,536 | 8,808 | 2,226 | 1,104 | 1,997 | 2,215 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 512.1 | 102.0 | 150.0 | 300.6 | 223.1 | 174.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.00 | 86.35 | 14.84 | 3.67 | 8.95 | 12.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.00 | 86.35 | 14.84 | 4.00 | 8.95 | 12.70 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |