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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 21,6x - 23,8x | 22,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 41,9x - 46,3x | 44,1x |
| Fair Value | ¥7,66 - ¥8,47 | ¥8,06 |
| Upside | -21,9% - -13,7% | -17,8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Jiamei Food Packaging (Chuzhou) Co.,Ltd | 2969 | SZSE:002969 |
| Shandong Xinjufeng Technology Packaging Co., Ltd. | 301296 | SZSE:301296 |
| Shanghai Zijiang Enterprise Group Co., Ltd. | 600210 | SHSE:600210 |
| Shanghai Baosteel Packaging Co., Ltd. | 601968 | SHSE:601968 |
| Xiamen Hexing Packaging Printing Co., Ltd. | 2228 | SZSE:002228 |
| Guangdong Tengen Industrial Group Co.,Ltd. | 3003 | SZSE:003003 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2969 | 301296 | 600210 | 601968 | 2228 | 3003 | ||
| SZSE:002969 | SZSE:301296 | SHSE:600210 | SHSE:601968 | SZSE:002228 | SZSE:003003 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 18.0% | -20.9% | -6.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 43.2% | 1.1% | 10.0% | 4.9% | -26.3% | 2.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 81.1% | -3.3% | 33.1% | -15.8% | 54.3% | 115.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.2% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.3% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% | -0.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 4.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 5.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.24x | 1.76x | 1.02x | 0.81x | 0.40x | 1.46x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.7x | 12.8x | 7.6x | 9.2x | 10.3x | 15.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.5x | 15.8x | 10.4x | 21.3x | 26.3x | 25.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.4x | 15.8x | 26.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -442.9x | 45.0x | 87.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 21.6x | 22.7x | 23.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 68 | 68 | 68 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,476 | 1,554 | 1,631 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (8) | (8) | (8) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,468 | 1,546 | 1,624 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 175.2 | 175.2 | 175.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.38 | 8.82 | 9.27 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.38 | 8.82 | 9.27 | 9.81 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -14.6% | -10.0% | -5.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2969 | 301296 | 600210 | 601968 | 2228 | 3003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 3,746 | 3,078 | 10,885 | 6,590 | 4,676 | 1,726 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 453 | 453 | 2,036 | 641 | 532 | 353 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 54 | 837 | 1,588 | 201 | 65 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,023) | (240) | (3,473) | (1,164) | (1,462) | (362) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (465) | (188) | (197) | 1 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,229 | 4,129 | 10,572 | 6,080 | 3,614 | 1,718 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 955.5 | 416.6 | 1,516.7 | 1,261.4 | 1,158.4 | 175.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.38 | 9.91 | 6.97 | 4.82 | 3.12 | 9.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.38 | 9.91 | 6.97 | 4.82 | 3.12 | 9.81 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |