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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 39,3x - 43,4x | 41,4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 52,5x - 58,0x | 55,3x |
Fair Value | ¥3,74 - ¥4,15 | ¥3,94 |
Upside | -43,7% - -37,6% | -40,6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Yimikang Tech.Group Co., Ltd. | 300249 | SZSE:300249 |
Greenworks (Jiangsu) Co., Ltd. | 301260 | SZSE:301260 |
Guangdong Topstrong Living Innovation and Integration Co., Ltd. | 300749 | SZSE:300749 |
Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Co., Ltd. | 300155 | SZSE:300155 |
Zhejiang Zhengte Co., Ltd. | 1238 | SZSE:001238 |
Shenzhen Fenda Technology Co., Ltd. | 2681 | SZSE:002681 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
300249 | 301260 | 300749 | 300155 | 1238 | 2681 | ||
SZSE:300249 | SZSE:301260 | SZSE:300749 | SZSE:300155 | SZSE:001238 | SZSE:002681 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | 52.1% | 106.2% | -830.0% | -8.1% | -227.0% | 58.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -7.5% | -2.3% | -1.0% | -10.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -17.5% | -12.8% | 2.4% | -20.0% | -0.3% | 4.2% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -4.8% | -0.2% | -11.4% | -36.2% | -1.6% | 5.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -4.4% | 0.7% | -10.5% | -43.2% | -0.2% | 5.3% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 5.05x | 1.81x | 1.65x | 11.06x | 2.94x | 3.81x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -128.3x | 51.5x | -32.0x | -30.5x | 74.6x | 40.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -115.9x | 259.6x | -15.7x | -25.6x | -1324.8x | 71.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1324.8x | -25.6x | 259.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -219.0x | 65.9x | 141.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 39.3x | 41.4x | 43.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 173 | 173 | 173 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,801 | 7,159 | 7,517 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (212) | (212) | (212) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 6,589 | 6,947 | 7,305 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,794.7 | 1,794.7 | 1,794.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3.67 | 3.87 | 4.07 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.67 | 3.87 | 4.07 | 6.64 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -44.7% | -41.7% | -38.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 300249 | 301260 | 300749 | 300155 | 1238 | 2681 | |
Enterprise Value | 6,203 | 9,654 | 1,684 | 2,155 | 4,132 | 12,128 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 231 | 4,246 | 226 | 489 | 335 | 1,026 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 111 | 245 | 6 | 75 | |
(-) Debt | (468) | (3,846) | (251) | (4) | (183) | (1,384) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (8) | 1 | (3) | (18) | (0) | 71 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 5,957 | 10,054 | 1,767 | 2,868 | 4,290 | 11,916 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 438.0 | 475.8 | 201.1 | 561.2 | 110.0 | 1,794.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 13.60 | 21.13 | 8.79 | 5.11 | 39.00 | 6.64 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.60 | 21.13 | 8.79 | 5.11 | 39.00 | 6.64 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |