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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 20,8x - 23,0x | 21,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 13,8x - 15,3x | 14,6x |
| Fair Value | ¥11,01 - ¥12,18 | ¥11,59 |
| Upside | 9,6% - 21,3% | 15,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Zhuhai Winbase International Chemical Tank Terminal Co.,Ltd | 2492 | SZSE:002492 |
| Guangzhou Hangxin Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. | 300424 | SZSE:300424 |
| Rizhao Port Jurong Co., Ltd. | 6117 | SEHK:6117 |
| China Railway Materials Company Limited | 927 | SZSE:000927 |
| Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd. | 828 | SZSE:000828 |
| Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd | 2023 | SZSE:002023 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2492 | 300424 | 6117 | 927 | 828 | 2023 | ||
| SZSE:002492 | SZSE:300424 | SEHK:6117 | SZSE:000927 | SZSE:000828 | SZSE:002023 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 6.8% | 15.6% | 4.5% | -12.9% | 1.0% | 25.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.1% | 84.2% | 4.6% | -22.7% | 13.0% | 4.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -20.3% | 12.4% | -0.2% | -21.1% | -0.8% | 34.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 48.8% | 7.1% | 47.6% | 2.5% | 41.8% | 31.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 51.8% | 8.4% | 47.4% | 2.1% | 26.4% | 36.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 47.5% | 7.2% | 46.1% | 2.0% | 27.4% | 34.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 41.5% | 8.2% | 46.1% | 2.0% | 43.5% | 32.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 4.35x | 2.83x | 1.31x | 0.34x | 3.99x | 6.15x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.5x | 34.7x | 2.8x | 17.1x | 9.2x | 19.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.1x | 65.8x | 3.8x | 25.9x | 12.2x | 36.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.8x | 10.5x | 34.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 23.8x | 31.2x | 58.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 20.8x | 21.9x | 23.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 395 | 395 | 395 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,215 | 8,648 | 9,080 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (121) | (121) | (121) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 8,094 | 8,526 | 8,959 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 740.9 | 740.9 | 740.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 10.93 | 11.51 | 12.09 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 10.93 | 11.51 | 12.09 | 10.04 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 8.8% | 14.6% | 20.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2492 | 300424 | 6117 | 927 | 828 | 2023 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,578 | 4,442 | 1,111 | 12,919 | 10,702 | 7,560 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 616 | 218 | 447 | 4,367 | 5,162 | 512 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 218 | 46 | 0 | 709 | 2,937 | 1,589 | |
| (-) Debt | (304) | (996) | (333) | (1,639) | (8,035) | (2,221) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (17) | (28) | 0 | (1,109) | (132) | (1) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,090 | 3,681 | 1,225 | 15,247 | 10,634 | 7,438 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 405.0 | 245.4 | 1,660.0 | 6,050.4 | 1,039.5 | 740.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.16 | 15.00 | 0.74 | 2.52 | 10.23 | 10.04 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.16 | 15.00 | 0.79 | 2.52 | 10.23 | 10.04 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |