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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,7x - 14,0x | 13,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9,9x - 10,9x | 10,4x |
| Fair Value | ¥6,66 - ¥7,33 | ¥6,99 |
| Upside | 13,8% - 25,3% | 19,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. | 811 | SZSE:000811 |
| Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd. | 301151 | SZSE:301151 |
| Dayu Irrigation Group Co.,Ltd | 300021 | SZSE:300021 |
| Shenzhen Colibri Technologies Co., Ltd. | 2957 | SZSE:002957 |
| Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument Co., Ltd. | 301512 | SZSE:301512 |
| Infore Environment Technology Group Co., Ltd. | 967 | SZSE:000967 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 811 | 301151 | 300021 | 2957 | 301512 | 967 | ||
| SZSE:000811 | SZSE:301151 | SZSE:300021 | SZSE:002957 | SZSE:301512 | SZSE:000967 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 15.6% | -8.2% | -1.8% | -7.8% | 8.4% | -1.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 35.3% | -13.9% | -0.2% | -12.2% | -6.6% | -11.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -5.6% | -29.3% | -34.8% | 2.6% | -96.2% | -0.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.7% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 13.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 12.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 0.6% | 13.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 1.67x | 1.41x | 2.46x | 3.23x | 1.38x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.8x | 22.8x | 30.2x | 19.1x | 539.3x | 10.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 29.7x | 40.6x | 22.9x | -260.4x | 20.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.8x | 22.8x | 539.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.4x | 10.7x | 13.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.7x | 13.4x | 14.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 1,726 | 1,726 | 1,726 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 21,900 | 23,053 | 24,206 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 759 | 759 | 759 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 22,659 | 23,812 | 24,965 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,166.9 | 3,166.9 | 3,166.9 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.15 | 7.52 | 7.88 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.15 | 7.52 | 7.88 | 5.85 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 22.3% | 28.5% | 34.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 811 | 301151 | 300021 | 2957 | 301512 | 967 | |
| Enterprise Value | 6,090 | 1,615 | 4,938 | 6,476 | 1,721 | 17,768 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,047 | 1,215 | 1,355 | 542 | 444 | 4,291 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,530 | 1 | 484 | 302 | 0 | 690 | |
| (-) Debt | (948) | (202) | (2,765) | (502) | (22) | (3,767) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (389) | 0 | (265) | (262) | (1) | (455) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,331 | 2,628 | 3,747 | 6,557 | 2,143 | 18,527 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 763.6 | 170.3 | 844.0 | 417.6 | 53.3 | 3,166.9 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 12.22 | 15.43 | 4.44 | 15.70 | 40.18 | 5.85 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 12.22 | 15.43 | 4.44 | 15.70 | 40.18 | 5.85 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |