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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 128,4x - 141,9x | 135,2x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8,0x - 8,9x | 8,4x |
Fair Value | ¥8,08 - ¥8,35 | ¥8,21 |
Upside | 5,9% - 9,4% | 7,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Wasu Media Holding Co.,Ltd | 156 | SZSE:000156 |
Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Company Limited | 601999 | SHSE:601999 |
Leo Group Co., Ltd. | 2131 | SZSE:002131 |
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co., Ltd. | 301171 | SZSE:301171 |
Qingdao Citymedia Co,. Ltd. | 600229 | SHSE:600229 |
Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co., Ltd. | 917 | SZSE:000917 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
156 | 601999 | 2131 | 301171 | 600229 | 917 | ||
SZSE:000156 | SHSE:601999 | SZSE:002131 | SZSE:301171 | SHSE:600229 | SZSE:000917 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -22.8% | -19.9% | -46.3% | 3.3% | -4.2% | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | -30.8% | NM- | -68.1% | -7.6% | 1.1% | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -57.7% | 2026.1% | -75.3% | 37.0% | -31.3% | -82.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 6.1% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | -2.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.6% | -0.8% | 1.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 4.5% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 0.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.89x | 0.92x | 0.75x | 4.39x | 1.13x | 0.94x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 38.7x | 79.1x | 45.4x | 12.1x | 35.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 44.2x | 94.4x | 236.9x | 46.9x | 16.7x | 154.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 16.7x | 46.9x | 236.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -64.5x | -4.3x | 0.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 128.4x | 135.2x | 141.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 23 | 23 | 23 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,913 | 3,067 | 3,220 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 7,846 | 7,846 | 7,846 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 10,759 | 10,912 | 11,066 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,417.6 | 1,417.6 | 1,417.6 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 7.59 | 7.70 | 7.81 | ||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.59 | 7.70 | 7.81 | 7.63 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 156 | 601999 | 2131 | 301171 | 600229 | 917 | |
Enterprise Value | 8,171 | 2,263 | 15,030 | 9,783 | 3,068 | 2,970 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 8,095 | 1,085 | 6,666 | 2,910 | 1,181 | 2,692 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2,008 | 393 | 5,059 | 225 | 350 | 9,579 | |
(-) Debt | (1,778) | (263) | (3,769) | (644) | (29) | (3,453) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (392) | (19) | 1 | (9) | (11) | (973) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 16,104 | 3,460 | 22,986 | 12,264 | 4,559 | 10,816 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,961.5 | 550.9 | 6,493.3 | 471.9 | 660.7 | 1,417.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 8.21 | 6.28 | 3.54 | 25.99 | 6.90 | 7.63 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 8.21 | 6.28 | 3.54 | 25.99 | 6.90 | 7.63 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |