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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 18,0x - 19,9x | 19,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 8,3x - 9,2x | 8,7x |
| Fair Value | $13,60 - $15,33 | $14,47 |
| Upside | 12,4% - 26,7% | 19,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Zhuhai CosMX Battery Co., Ltd. | 688772 | SHSE:688772 |
| Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd. | 2074 | SZSE:002074 |
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited | 300750 | SZSE:300750 |
| EVE Energy Co., Ltd. | 300014 | SZSE:300014 |
| REPT BATTERO Energy Co., Ltd. | 666 | SEHK:666 |
| Sunwoda Electronic Co.,Ltd | SWD | SWX:SWD |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 688772 | 2074 | 300750 | 300014 | 666 | SWD | ||
| SHSE:688772 | SZSE:002074 | SZSE:300750 | SZSE:300014 | SEHK:666 | SWX:SWD | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.0% | 52.4% | 54.6% | 39.3% | NM- | 14.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.6% | 81.8% | 56.1% | 48.2% | NM- | 15.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 55.6% | 11.3% | 57.1% | 107.3% | 21.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 15.2% | 6.1% | 18.3% | 12.1% | -4.2% | 4.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 7.2% | 18.1% | 9.0% | -7.1% | 4.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.0% | 10.0% | 23.3% | 12.6% | 0.4% | 5.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.1% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 12.4% | 0.4% | 5.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.68x | 1.85x | 2.41x | 1.75x | 1.52x | 0.78x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.5x | 18.0x | 10.3x | 14.1x | 382.0x | 15.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -1429.9x | 51.2x | 14.0x | 24.8x | -21.0x | 40.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.3x | 14.1x | 382.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.6x | 18.7x | 44.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.0x | 19.0x | 19.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 2,880 | 2,880 | 2,880 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 51,904 | 54,635 | 57,367 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (9,329) | (9,329) | (9,329) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 42,575 | 45,306 | 48,038 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 459.3 | 459.3 | 459.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 92.69 | 98.64 | 104.59 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.86 | 13.68 | 14.51 | 12.10 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 6.3% | 13.1% | 19.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 688772 | 2074 | 300750 | 300014 | 666 | SWD | |
| Enterprise Value | 19,343 | 68,386 | 887,654 | 92,271 | 27,221 | 49,395 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2,625 | 18,983 | 342,745 | 18,204 | 4,513 | 20,597 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 393 | 4,676 | 71,208 | 17,392 | 2,037 | 2,538 | |
| (-) Debt | (6,033) | (46,787) | (136,108) | (32,879) | (10,027) | (24,611) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (521) | (3,936) | (27,582) | (2,540) | (50) | (7,852) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 15,807 | 41,322 | 1,137,917 | 92,447 | 23,694 | 40,066 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,121.0 | 1,788.8 | 4,387.4 | 2,040.8 | 2,276.9 | 459.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.10 | 23.10 | 259.36 | 45.30 | 10.41 | 87.23 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 7.21 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.10 | 23.10 | 259.36 | 45.30 | 11.28 | 12.10 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 7.21 | |