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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 6,2x - 6,9x | 6,6x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5,3x - 5,9x | 5,6x |
Fair Value | CLP 1.132 - CLP 1.437 | CLP 1.285 |
Upside | 15,3% - 46,3% | 30,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Colbún S.A. | COLBUN | SNSE:COLBUN |
NextEra Energy, Inc. | NEE | BVL:NEE |
Enel Américas S.A. | ENELAM | SNSE:ENELAM |
Enel SpA | ENL | DB:ENL |
Energía del Pacífico S.A. | ENPACIC1 | BVL:ENPACIC1 |
Engie Energia Chile S.A. | ECL | SNSE:ECL |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
COLBUN | NEE | ENELAM | ENL | ENPACIC1 | ECL | ||
SNSE:COLBUN | BVL:NEE | SNSE:ENELAM | DB:ENL | BVL:ENPACIC1 | SNSE:ECL | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -3.1% | 5.9% | -2.3% | 7.4% | NM- | -0.8% | |
3Y CAGR | 9.4% | 21.6% | 1.5% | 17.6% | NM- | 17.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -14.7% | -19.1% | -2.6% | 30.7% | NM | 28.1% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 38.7% | 49.1% | 23.8% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 22.2% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 33.1% | 57.7% | 24.8% | 18.5% | NA | 18.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 35.9% | 53.0% | 22.4% | 28.8% | NA | 27.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 35.9% | 53.0% | 22.4% | 28.8% | NA | 27.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.60x | 8.92x | 0.80x | 1.96x | 7.23x | 1.73x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.3x | 16.8x | 3.6x | 6.8x | NA | 6.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 11.7x | 30.0x | 5.5x | 10.0x | -1835.5x | 8.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.6x | 7.0x | 16.8x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | 6.3x | 12.4x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.2x | 6.6x | 6.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 506 | 506 | 506 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,157 | 3,323 | 3,489 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,947) | (1,947) | (1,947) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,210 | 1,376 | 1,542 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,053.3 | 1,053.3 | 1,053.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.15 | 1.31 | 1.46 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/CLP | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1,096.16 | 1,246.69 | 1,397.22 | 982.01 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 11.6% | 27.0% | 42.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | COLBUN | NEE | ENELAM | ENL | ENPACIC1 | ECL | |
Enterprise Value | 4,122 | 219,987 | 10,732 | 153,465 | 9 | 3,031 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 775 | 1,487 | 3,273 | 8,051 | 0 | 500 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 13 | 18,010 | 4,470 | 1,456 | 8 | 139 | |
(-) Debt | (2,300) | (83,560) | (5,631) | (71,084) | 0 | (2,585) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (126) | (10,760) | (2,277) | (15,440) | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 2,483 | 145,164 | 10,567 | 76,448 | 17 | 1,084 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 17,536.2 | 2,057.0 | 107,279.9 | 10,155.1 | 256.4 | 1,053.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.14 | 70.57 | 0.10 | 7.53 | 0.07 | 1.03 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 135.15 | 70.57 | 94.00 | 7.53 | 0.25 | 982.01 | |
Trading Currency | CLP | USD | CLP | EUR | PEN | CLP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.00 |