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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,9x - 3,2x | 3,0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,1x - 2,3x | 2,2x |
| Fair Value | ฿4,75 - ฿5,13 | ฿4,94 |
| Upside | -5,9% - 1,6% | -2,1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Rojukiss International Public Company Limited | KISS | SET:KISS |
| Neo Corporate Public Company Limited | NEO | SET:NEO |
| Asian Phytoceuticals Public Company Limited | APCO | SET:APCO |
| Karmarts Public Company Limited | KAMART | SET:KAMART |
| Thai Nippon Rubber Industry Public Co., Ltd. | TNR | SET:TNR |
| Specialty Natural Products Public Company Limited | SNPS | SET:SNPS |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| KISS | NEO | APCO | KAMART | TNR | SNPS | |||
| SET:KISS | SET:NEO | SET:APCO | SET:KAMART | SET:TNR | SET:SNPS | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 0.5% | 10.4% | -3.2% | 16.0% | 3.8% | 31.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 14.8% | 10.7% | -1.9% | 35.1% | 8.3% | 31.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.8% | 5.7% | -22.8% | 25.4% | 6.9% | 33.9% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 19.4% | 12.1% | 32.9% | 23.4% | 8.2% | 19.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 19.9% | 11.6% | 39.9% | 27.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 16.6% | 13.5% | 25.2% | 27.1% | 16.5% | 19.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.3% | 13.2% | 23.1% | 26.3% | 16.0% | 21.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.40x | 0.88x | 7.06x | 2.47x | 1.22x | 3.20x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 6.7x | 30.6x | 9.4x | 7.6x | 15.0x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.75x | 0.78x | 9.35x | 2.86x | 1.04x | 4.13x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.88x | 1.40x | 7.06x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 4.83x | 4.83x | 4.83x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.87x | 3.02x | 3.17x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 495 | 495 | 495 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,419 | 1,494 | 1,569 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 465 | 465 | 465 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,884 | 1,959 | 2,034 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 405.0 | 405.0 | 405.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.65 | 4.84 | 5.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.65 | 4.84 | 5.02 | 5.05 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.9% | -4.2% | -0.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KISS | NEO | APCO | KAMART | TNR | SNPS | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,667 | 9,194 | 1,501 | 8,334 | 2,502 | 1,580 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 431 | 1,452 | 346 | 1,629 | 311 | 500 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 149 | 383 | 0 | 3 | |
| (-) Debt | (7) | (2,516) | (25) | (653) | (668) | (7) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (31) | (3) | (68) | 0 | (30) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,092 | 8,100 | 1,968 | 9,625 | 2,145 | 2,045 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 597.8 | 300.0 | 600.0 | 1,283.3 | 300.0 | 405.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.50 | 27.00 | 3.28 | 7.50 | 7.15 | 5.05 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.50 | 27.00 | 3.28 | 7.50 | 7.15 | 5.05 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |