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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 10,8x - 11,9x | 11,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6,8x - 7,5x | 7,1x |
| Fair Value | ฿4,68 - ฿5,06 | ฿4,87 |
| Upside | 5,9% - 14,5% | 10,2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Rojukiss International Public Company Limited | KISS | SET:KISS |
| Neo Corporate Public Company Limited | NEO | SET:NEO |
| Asian Phytoceuticals Public Company Limited | APCO | SET:APCO |
| Karmarts Public Company Limited | KAMART | SET:KAMART |
| Do Day Dream Public Company Limited | DDD | SET:DDD |
| Specialty Natural Products Public Company Limited | SNPS | SET:SNPS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KISS | NEO | APCO | KAMART | DDD | SNPS | ||
| SET:KISS | SET:NEO | SET:APCO | SET:KAMART | SET:DDD | SET:SNPS | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.4% | 15.6% | -5.6% | 19.5% | NM- | 28.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.1% | 11.8% | -10.1% | 30.9% | -23.9% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -14.0% | -14.0% | -43.7% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 99.7% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 20.1% | 15.5% | 35.6% | 25.9% | -0.4% | 21.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 15.0% | 42.2% | 28.9% | 4.5% | 18.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 16.9% | 28.1% | 28.4% | 2.4% | 25.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.1% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 26.7% | 2.4% | 26.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.22x | 0.79x | 7.57x | 2.65x | -0.49x | 2.60x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 5.5x | 29.7x | 9.9x | -20.6x | 9.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.4x | 7.3x | 33.4x | 10.4x | 265.4x | 11.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -20.6x | 8.0x | 29.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 21.6x | 21.6x | 21.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.8x | 11.4x | 11.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 141 | 141 | 141 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,519 | 1,598 | 1,678 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 433 | 433 | 433 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,951 | 2,031 | 2,111 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 405.0 | 405.0 | 405.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 4.82 | 5.01 | 5.21 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.82 | 5.01 | 5.21 | 4.42 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 9.0% | 13.5% | 17.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KISS | NEO | APCO | KAMART | DDD | SNPS | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,411 | 8,212 | 1,512 | 8,938 | (655) | 1,358 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 318 | 1,377 | 308 | 806 | 2,859 | 462 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 136 | 1,036 | 0 | 3 | |
| (-) Debt | (6) | (3,166) | (21) | (771) | (54) | (4) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (33) | (3) | (67) | (46) | (29) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,723 | 6,390 | 1,932 | 9,943 | 2,104 | 1,790 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 594.1 | 300.0 | 600.0 | 1,274.7 | 316.4 | 405.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.90 | 21.30 | 3.22 | 7.80 | 6.65 | 4.42 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.90 | 21.30 | 3.22 | 7.80 | 6.65 | 4.42 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |