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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,3x - 13,6x | 13,0x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2,5x - 2,8x | 2,7x |
Fair Value | ฿0,98 - ฿1,12 | ฿1,05 |
Upside | 63,4% - 86,1% | 74,8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
SAAM Development Public Company Limited | SAAM | SET:SAAM |
BT Wealth Industries Public Company Limited | BTW | SET:BTW |
Well Graded Engineering Public Company Limited | WGE | SET:WGE |
TRC Construction Public Company Limited | TRC | SET:TRC |
Stecon Group Public Company Limited | STECON | SET:STECON |
Prosper Engineering Public Company Limited | PROS | SET:PROS |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
SAAM | BTW | WGE | TRC | STECON | PROS | ||
SET:SAAM | SET:BTW | SET:WGE | SET:TRC | SET:STECON | SET:PROS | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -2.1% | NM- | 5.8% | NM- | NM- | 8.7% | |
3Y CAGR | -11.9% | NM- | 63.4% | NM- | NM- | 6.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -98.8% | 114.3% | 349.8% | 27.3% | -181.8% | -14.3% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 52.7% | -26.1% | 0.6% | -12.2% | 3.7% | -2.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 68.0% | -112.4% | -12.0% | -12.4% | 3.9% | -21.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 41.5% | 14.8% | 9.0% | -41.4% | -4.2% | 4.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | -35.6% | -3.3% | 4.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 23.93x | 0.46x | 0.19x | 1.27x | 0.34x | 0.36x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 1787.1x | 4.6x | 2.1x | -3.6x | -133.2x | 8.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -327.3x | -74.2x | 2.4x | -3.2x | -23.6x | 18.0x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -133.2x | 2.1x | 1787.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -9.1x | 4.2x | 13.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 13.0x | 13.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 57 | 57 | 57 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 702 | 739 | 776 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (171) | (171) | (171) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 531 | 568 | 605 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 551.5 | 551.5 | 551.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.96 | 1.03 | 1.10 | ||||
FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.96 | 1.03 | 1.10 | 0.60 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 60.4% | 71.5% | 82.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SAAM | BTW | WGE | TRC | STECON | PROS | |
Enterprise Value | 1,731 | 245 | 474 | 1,309 | (1,173) | 502 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 96 | 5 | 260 | 31 | 3,728 | 65 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 28 | 0 | 0 | 388 | 16,288 | 33 | |
(-) Debt | (48) | (139) | (236) | (1,084) | (8,808) | (263) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 3 | 0 | (2) | (422) | (6) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,807 | 113 | 498 | 643 | 9,613 | 331 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 317.0 | 756.0 | 600.0 | 1,397.7 | 1,502.1 | 551.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 5.70 | 0.15 | 0.83 | 0.46 | 6.40 | 0.60 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.70 | 0.15 | 0.83 | 0.46 | 6.40 | 0.60 | |
Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |