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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2,3x - 2,5x | 2,4x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2,1x - 2,3x | 2,2x |
| Fair Value | ฿5,09 - ฿5,56 | ฿5,32 |
| Upside | 33,9% - 46,2% | 40,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Nova Organic Public Company Limited | NV | SET:NV |
| Inter Pharma Public Company Limited | IP | SET:IP |
| DOD Biotech Public Company Limited | DOD | SET:DOD |
| S & J International Enterprises Public Company Limited | S&J | SET:S&J |
| Thai Nippon Rubber Industry Public Co., Ltd. | TNR | SET:TNR |
| Rojukiss International Public Company Limited | KISS | SET:KISS |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NV | IP | DOD | S&J | TNR | KISS | |||
| SET:NV | SET:IP | SET:DOD | SET:S&J | SET:TNR | SET:KISS | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.8% | 38.4% | -3.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -22.6% | 27.6% | -13.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 14.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -6.4% | 6.3% | -4.4% | -8.6% | 7.4% | 21.2% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -1.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 19.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -10.0% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.9% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -13.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 16.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -13.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 16.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | -0.06x | 1.32x | 0.54x | 0.53x | 1.27x | 1.62x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 0.5x | 33.4x | 24.7x | 6.1x | 7.7x | 9.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.69x | 1.17x | 0.82x | 0.81x | 1.09x | 1.95x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | -0.06x | 0.54x | 1.32x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.62x | 4.13x | 6.94x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.27x | 2.39x | 2.51x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,169 | 1,169 | 1,169 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,654 | 2,794 | 2,933 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 390 | 390 | 390 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,044 | 3,183 | 3,323 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 600.0 | 600.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 5.07 | 5.31 | 5.54 | |||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.07 | 5.31 | 5.54 | 3.80 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 33.5% | 39.6% | 45.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NV | IP | DOD | S&J | TNR | KISS | |
| Enterprise Value | (41) | 2,520 | 354 | 3,384 | 2,664 | 1,890 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 454 | 186 | 223 | 1,053 | 132 | 397 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 6 | 134 | 3 | 1,472 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (21) | (394) | (46) | (303) | (501) | (8) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (0) | (217) | 7 | (471) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 397 | 2,228 | 540 | 5,135 | 2,295 | 2,280 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 576.0 | 605.3 | 450.4 | 149.9 | 300.0 | 600.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.69 | 3.68 | 1.20 | 34.25 | 7.65 | 3.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.69 | 3.68 | 1.20 | 34.25 | 7.65 | 3.80 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |