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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -62,6x - -69,2x | -65,9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -62,2x - -68,7x | -65,5x |
| Fair Value | ฿0,0098 - ฿0,040 | ฿0,025 |
| Upside | -80,4% - -19,6% | -50,0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sahathai Terminal Public Company Limited | PORT | SET:PORT |
| Bangkok Expressway and Metro Public Company Limited | BEM | SET:BEM |
| Don Muang Tollway Public Company Limited | DMT | SET:DMT |
| Samart Aviation Solutions Public Company Limited | SAV | SET:SAV |
| Bangkok Aviation Fuel Services Public Company Limited | BAFS | SET:BAFS |
| Begistics Public Company Limited | B | SET:B |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PORT | BEM | DMT | SAV | BAFS | B | ||
| SET:PORT | SET:BEM | SET:DMT | SET:SAV | SET:BAFS | SET:B | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -12.2% | 9.5% | -6.7% | NM- | -12.4% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -5.2% | 39.6% | 30.3% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.6% | 4.1% | -11.7% | 31.3% | 50.3% | -177.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.1% | 33.7% | 50.6% | 24.9% | -3.1% | -14.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 40.2% | 53.7% | 25.6% | 13.7% | 7.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.4% | 41.2% | 45.4% | 33.5% | 20.0% | -10.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.9% | 41.2% | 44.8% | 34.6% | 21.3% | -10.6% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.23x | 9.53x | 4.33x | 3.87x | 5.04x | 7.55x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.1x | 18.0x | 5.7x | 10.0x | 11.6x | 35.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 25.2x | 23.1x | 9.7x | 11.2x | 23.7x | -71.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.7x | 23.1x | 25.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -82.0x | -23.0x | -6.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -62.6x | -65.9x | -69.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (37) | (37) | (37) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,335 | 2,458 | 2,581 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,256) | (2,256) | (2,256) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 79 | 202 | 325 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 8,074.0 | 8,074.0 | 8,074.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.05 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -80.4% | -50.0% | -19.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PORT | BEM | DMT | SAV | BAFS | B | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,790 | 161,318 | 10,848 | 7,158 | 18,152 | 2,660 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 46 | 1,363 | 1,096 | 950 | 811 | 11 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 58 | 10,299 | 146 | 0 | 1,024 | 254 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,445) | (90,600) | (30) | (1) | (12,862) | (1,662) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (2) | (11) | 0 | (1,100) | (859) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 449 | 82,378 | 12,049 | 8,108 | 6,024 | 404 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 607.2 | 14,977.9 | 1,181.2 | 638.4 | 637.5 | 8,074.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.74 | 5.50 | 10.20 | 12.70 | 9.45 | 0.05 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.74 | 5.50 | 10.20 | 12.70 | 9.45 | 0.05 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |