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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -14,0x - -15,5x | -14,7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 16,3x - 18,0x | 17,2x |
| Fair Value | ฿1,16 - ฿2,66 | ฿1,91 |
| Upside | -51,9% - 10,7% | -20,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Limited | PTL | SET:PTL |
| Thai Future Incorporation Public Company Limited | TFI | SET:TFI |
| Thai Coating Industrial Public Company Limited | TCOAT | SET:TCOAT |
| Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited | THIP | SET:THIP |
| Thai O.P.P. Public Company Limited | TOPP | SET:TOPP |
| A.J. Plast Public Company Limited | AJ | SET:AJ |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PTL | TFI | TCOAT | THIP | TOPP | AJ | ||
| SET:PTL | SET:TFI | SET:TCOAT | SET:THIP | SET:TOPP | SET:AJ | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -17.0% | NM- | -19.2% | 7.5% | -0.5% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -37.2% | NM- | -13.6% | -5.3% | 8.7% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 158.5% | -1.6% | 299.2% | 27.5% | 1.0% | -32.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.6% | 1749649.8% | 0.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 8.9% | -105.3% | -0.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | -5.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.8% | -58.7% | 0.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | -7.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | -58.7% | 0.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | -7.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.49x | 1.55x | 0.21x | 0.40x | 0.23x | 1.18x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.5x | -5.1x | 5.6x | 3.5x | 2.1x | -41.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.0x | -2.6x | 48.4x | 4.8x | 3.4x | -15.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -2.6x | 4.8x | 48.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -18.0x | 17.8x | 26.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -14.0x | -14.7x | -15.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (583) | (583) | (583) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,147 | 8,576 | 9,005 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (7,816) | (7,816) | (7,816) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 331 | 760 | 1,189 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 596.5 | 596.5 | 596.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.56 | 1.27 | 1.99 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.56 | 1.27 | 1.99 | 2.40 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -76.9% | -46.9% | -17.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PTL | TFI | TCOAT | THIP | TOPP | AJ | |
| Enterprise Value | 11,036 | 1,072 | 146 | 1,734 | 398 | 9,247 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,737 | 29 | 149 | 811 | 504 | 390 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 157 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 160 | 221 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,118) | (260) | (6) | (286) | (132) | (7,879) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (272) | 0 | (26) | 0 | 0 | (547) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 9,540 | 841 | 263 | 2,362 | 930 | 1,432 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 900.0 | 16,826.2 | 10.5 | 90.0 | 6.0 | 596.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 10.60 | 0.05 | 25.00 | 26.25 | 155.00 | 2.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 10.60 | 0.05 | 25.00 | 26.25 | 155.00 | 2.40 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |