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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 17,6x - 19,5x | 18,6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 14,9x - 16,4x | 15,6x |
| Fair Value | HK$ 3,28 - HK$ 4,29 | HK$ 3,78 |
| Upside | -43,6% - -26,2% | -34,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Tonking New Energy Group Holdings Limited | 8326 | SEHK:8326 |
| China Environmental Technology Holdings Limited | 646 | SEHK:646 |
| Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd | ENLT | TASE:ENLT |
| Eden Inc. Berhad | EDEN | KLSE:EDEN |
| Shivamshree Businesses Limited | 538520 | BSE:538520 |
| Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited | 412 | SEHK:412 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 8326 | 646 | ENLT | EDEN | 538520 | 412 | ||
| SEHK:8326 | SEHK:646 | TASE:ENLT | KLSE:EDEN | BSE:538520 | SEHK:412 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -2.3% | NM- | 53.6% | -18.6% | NM- | 145.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 65.8% | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 155.7% | 30.0% | 62.4% | 2175.1% | -303.2% | -24.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 4.3% | -83.5% | 65.4% | -3.6% | -17.1% | 18.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.3% | -43.0% | 68.3% | 1.4% | -71.9% | 62.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.8% | -134.3% | 75.1% | 2.6% | -0.2% | 60.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | -54.7% | 75.1% | 6.2% | -11.8% | 58.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.19x | 11.04x | 12.81x | 0.30x | 1.48x | 13.23x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.1x | -20.2x | 17.1x | 4.8x | -12.5x | 22.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 2.2x | -20.0x | 27.7x | 13.2x | -12.6x | 52.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -20.2x | 2.1x | 17.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -34.2x | -6.2x | 49.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.6x | 18.6x | 19.5x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 3,246 | 3,246 | 3,246 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 57,217 | 60,228 | 63,240 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (38,095) | (38,095) | (38,095) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 19,122 | 22,133 | 25,145 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,019.4 | 6,019.4 | 6,019.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.18 | 3.68 | 4.18 | ||||
| FX Rate: HKD/HKD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.18 | 3.68 | 4.18 | 5.81 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -45.3% | -36.7% | -28.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 8326 | 646 | ENLT | EDEN | 538520 | 412 | |
| Enterprise Value | 207 | 298 | 4,904 | 49 | 90 | 73,068 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 160 | 7 | 387 | 45 | 1 | 15,616 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 9,030 | |
| (-) Debt | (148) | (221) | (3,234) | (13) | 0 | (48,033) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (19) | (5) | (260) | 2 | 0 | (14,709) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 200 | 79 | 1,926 | 83 | 91 | 34,973 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,227.0 | 342.7 | 119.1 | 505.4 | 45.7 | 6,019.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.16 | 0.23 | 16.17 | 0.17 | 2.00 | 5.81 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.16 | 0.23 | 59.22 | 0.17 | 2.00 | 5.81 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | ILS | MYR | INR | HKD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |