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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 42,8x - 47,3x | 45,0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 28,7x - 31,7x | 30,2x |
Fair Value | ﷼46,97 - ﷼58,07 | ﷼52,52 |
Upside | -11,2% - 9,8% | -0,7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company | 4191 | SASE:4191 |
Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair & Company | 4240 | SASE:4240 |
Alhasoob Co. | 9522 | SASE:9522 |
Saudi Company for Hardware SACO | 4008 | SASE:4008 |
Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company | 4192 | SASE:4192 |
Saudi Automotive Services Company | 4050 | SASE:4050 |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
4191 | 4240 | 9522 | 4008 | 4192 | 4050 | ||
SASE:4191 | SASE:4240 | SASE:9522 | SASE:4008 | SASE:4192 | SASE:4050 | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 3.8% | -16.1% | -6.9% | NM- | -41.7% | 11.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -0.9% | NM- | -27.1% | NM- | -58.0% | 18.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -13.2% | 207.5% | 69.2% | 181.4% | -73.5% | 2.4% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | -3.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 2.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 0.1% | 1.3% | -4.3% | 13.0% | 2.1% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 3.27x | 1.20x | 0.43x | 1.38x | 3.82x | 0.72x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 31.5x | 13.5x | 21.9x | 31.8x | 66.9x | 24.2x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 36.5x | 20.8x | 22.4x | 99.8x | 148.9x | 42.5x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 20.8x | 36.5x | 148.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 24.5x | 39.3x | 86.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 42.8x | 45.0x | 47.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 184 | 184 | 184 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,849 | 8,262 | 8,675 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,094) | (4,094) | (4,094) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 3,755 | 4,168 | 4,581 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 70.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 53.65 | 59.55 | 65.45 | ||||
FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 53.65 | 59.55 | 65.45 | 52.90 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 1.4% | 12.6% | 23.7% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 4191 | 4240 | 9522 | 4008 | 4192 | 4050 | |
Enterprise Value | 861 | 5,820 | 111 | 1,434 | 2,678 | 7,797 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4 | 99 | 19 | 24 | 14 | 200 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 5 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 503 | |
(-) Debt | (53) | (3,193) | (2) | (422) | (235) | (4,686) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (112) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 818 | 2,920 | 129 | 1,036 | 2,457 | 3,703 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 20.0 | 114.8 | 2.8 | 35.9 | 350.0 | 70.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 40.88 | 25.44 | 46.00 | 28.86 | 7.02 | 52.90 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 40.88 | 25.44 | 46.00 | 28.86 | 7.02 | 52.90 | |
Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |