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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 13,7x - 15,2x | 14,5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11,2x - 12,4x | 11,8x |
| Fair Value | ﷼87,03 - ﷼98,77 | ﷼92,90 |
| Upside | -1,7% - 11,5% | 4,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company | 4191 | SASE:4191 |
| Jarir Marketing Company | 4190 | SASE:4190 |
| Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company | 4200 | SASE:4200 |
| Al Majed for Oud Company | 4165 | SASE:4165 |
| Saudi Automotive Services Company | 4050 | SASE:4050 |
| United Electronics Company | 4003 | SASE:4003 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4191 | 4190 | 4200 | 4165 | 4050 | 4003 | ||
| SASE:4191 | SASE:4190 | SASE:4200 | SASE:4165 | SASE:4050 | SASE:4003 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.8% | -0.3% | 10.3% | NM- | -14.5% | 19.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.9% | 1.3% | 21.6% | NM- | -23.0% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -13.2% | 3.2% | 23.4% | 19.7% | -71.6% | 25.2% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 21.7% | 2.3% | 7.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 21.2% | 1.9% | 7.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 9.7% | 2.7% | 19.3% | 0.5% | 9.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 22.0% | 0.5% | 8.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.09x | 1.45x | 0.79x | 3.34x | 0.74x | 1.24x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 29.7x | 14.2x | 22.5x | 13.3x | 42.8x | 13.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 34.5x | 15.1x | 30.4x | 15.2x | 160.2x | 14.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 15.1x | 30.4x | 160.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 14.0x | 16.9x | 20.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 13.7x | 14.5x | 15.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 614 | 614 | 614 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,434 | 8,878 | 9,322 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,872) | (1,872) | (1,872) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 6,562 | 7,006 | 7,450 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 76.5 | 76.5 | 76.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 85.81 | 91.61 | 97.42 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 85.81 | 91.61 | 97.42 | 88.55 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -3.1% | 3.5% | 10.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4191 | 4190 | 4200 | 4165 | 4050 | 4003 | |
| Enterprise Value | 826 | 15,953 | 16,421 | 3,560 | 7,769 | 8,644 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4 | 191 | 397 | 234 | 370 | 526 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5 | 40 | 520 | 0 | 473 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (53) | (813) | (4,538) | (229) | (4,686) | (2,047) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (111) | (351) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 783 | 15,372 | 12,800 | 3,565 | 3,815 | 6,772 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.0 | 1,200.0 | 100.0 | 25.0 | 70.0 | 76.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 39.16 | 12.81 | 128.00 | 142.60 | 54.50 | 88.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 39.16 | 12.81 | 128.00 | 142.60 | 54.50 | 88.55 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |