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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 15,4x - 17,0x | 16,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11,1x - 12,3x | 11,7x |
| Fair Value | ﷼9,17 - ﷼10,36 | ﷼9,77 |
| Upside | 23,3% - 39,2% | 31,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| BinDawood Holding Company | 4161 | SASE:4161 |
| Saudi Marketing Company | 4006 | SASE:4006 |
| Carrefour SA | CAFR31T | BOVESPA:CAFR31T |
| Almunajem Foods Company | 4162 | SASE:4162 |
| Nahdi Medical Company | 4164 | SASE:4164 |
| Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company | 4001 | SASE:4001 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4161 | 4006 | CAFR31T | 4162 | 4164 | 4001 | ||
| SASE:4161 | SASE:4006 | BOVESPA:CAFR31T | SASE:4162 | SASE:4164 | SASE:4001 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.2% | 8.8% | 0.7% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 7.9% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 12.3% | 1.8% | 6.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.4% | 28.9% | 0.4% | -36.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 6.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 6.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 5.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.55x | 1.09x | 0.27x | 1.19x | 1.79x | 0.79x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.3x | 10.7x | 6.5x | 17.9x | 14.9x | 13.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.9x | 16.4x | 10.8x | 20.6x | 19.3x | 20.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 14.9x | 17.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 17.0x | 19.5x | 22.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.4x | 16.2x | 17.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 624 | 624 | 624 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,581 | 10,086 | 10,590 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,894) | (1,894) | (1,894) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,687 | 8,191 | 8,696 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 900.0 | 900.0 | 900.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 8.54 | 9.10 | 9.66 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 8.54 | 9.10 | 9.66 | 7.44 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.8% | 22.3% | 29.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4161 | 4006 | CAFR31T | 4162 | 4164 | 4001 | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,111 | 2,015 | 14,849 | 4,003 | 17,713 | 8,590 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 496 | 57 | 6,745 | 38 | 988 | 267 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 37 | 1 | 1,604 | 337 | 0 | 329 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,735) | (1,311) | (21,533) | (196) | (1,606) | (2,445) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (74) | 0 | (1,665) | 0 | 0 | (45) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,835 | 761 | 0 | 4,182 | 17,095 | 6,696 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,141.0 | 45.0 | 704.1 | 60.0 | 130.0 | 900.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.99 | 16.92 | 0.00 | 69.70 | 131.50 | 7.44 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.99 | 16.92 | 69.70 | 131.50 | 7.44 | ||
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | BRL | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |