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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 22,9x - 25,3x | 24,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 22,5x - 24,9x | 23,7x |
| Fair Value | ﷼8,61 - ﷼9,81 | ﷼9,21 |
| Upside | 11,8% - 27,4% | 19,6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| BinDawood Holding Company | 4161 | SASE:4161 |
| Saudi Marketing Company | 4006 | SASE:4006 |
| Carrefour SA | CAFR31 | BOVESPA:CAFR31 |
| Almunajem Foods Company | 4162 | SASE:4162 |
| Nahdi Medical Company | 4164 | SASE:4164 |
| Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company | 4001 | SASE:4001 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4161 | 4006 | CAFR31 | 4162 | 4164 | 4001 | ||
| SASE:4161 | SASE:4006 | BOVESPA:CAFR31 | SASE:4162 | SASE:4164 | SASE:4001 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -6.5% | 11.3% | 1.0% | 20.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.5% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 13.6% | -1.3% | 7.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -3.5% | 4.2% | -6.8% | -50.1% | -2.4% | -5.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 4.2% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 3.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.49x | 1.08x | 0.29x | 1.05x | 1.60x | 0.87x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.3x | 12.0x | 7.2x | 18.0x | 13.5x | 14.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 24.6x | 20.1x | 12.3x | 21.4x | 17.6x | 22.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 12.3x | 20.1x | 24.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 24.0x | 27.0x | 30.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 22.9x | 24.1x | 25.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 417 | 417 | 417 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,560 | 10,064 | 10,567 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,536) | (2,536) | (2,536) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,025 | 7,528 | 8,031 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 900.0 | 900.0 | 900.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.81 | 8.36 | 8.92 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.81 | 8.36 | 8.92 | 7.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 1.4% | 8.6% | 15.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4161 | 4006 | CAFR31 | 4162 | 4164 | 4001 | |
| Enterprise Value | 8,816 | 717 | 25,730 | 3,474 | 15,819 | 9,466 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 338 | 0 | 5,220 | 39 | 692 | 129 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 37 | 0 | 1,453 | 342 | 0 | 324 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,785) | 0 | (22,767) | (335) | (1,678) | (2,942) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (74) | 0 | (662) | 0 | 0 | (47) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,333 | 717 | 8,974 | 3,519 | 14,833 | 6,930 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,141.0 | 45.0 | 706.1 | 60.0 | 130.0 | 900.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 5.55 | 15.93 | 12.71 | 58.65 | 114.10 | 7.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.55 | 15.93 | 81.06 | 58.65 | 114.10 | 7.70 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | BRL | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |