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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12,1x - 13,4x | 12,8x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10,4x - 11,5x | 10,9x |
| Fair Value | ﷼128,26 - ﷼140,28 | ﷼134,27 |
| Upside | -18,3% - -10,6% | -14,5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Batic Investments and Logistics Company | 4110 | SASE:4110 |
| SM Investments Corporation | SM | PSE:SM |
| Fosun International Limited | 656 | SEHK:656 |
| Aker ASA | AKAA.F | OTCPK:AKAA.F |
| Al Hassan Ghazi Ibrahim Shaker Company | 1214 | SASE:1214 |
| Astra Industrial Group Company | 1212 | SASE:1212 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4110 | SM | 656 | AKAA.F | 1214 | 1212 | ||
| SASE:4110 | PSE:SM | SEHK:656 | OTCPK:AKAA.F | SASE:1214 | SASE:1212 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -64.9% | 6.9% | -46.4% | 18.6% | NM- | 20.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -82.1% | 17.6% | -53.4% | 306.0% | 21.7% | 18.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.0% | 5.4% | -84.2% | 162.8% | -15.1% | 17.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.6% | 24.0% | 2.4% | -3.0% | 4.7% | 19.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.6% | 26.5% | 1.3% | -39.7% | 7.5% | 21.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.6% | 26.7% | 0.2% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 24.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.5% | 26.2% | 0.2% | 13.0% | 5.8% | 24.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.47x | 1.93x | 0.99x | 3.09x | 0.90x | 3.75x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -254.6x | 7.4x | 463.1x | 23.8x | 15.5x | 15.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -28.5x | 8.2x | -26.8x | 63.2x | 16.5x | 16.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -254.6x | 15.5x | 463.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 10.2x | 18.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.1x | 12.8x | 13.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 755 | 755 | 755 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,162 | 9,644 | 10,126 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,124 | 1,124 | 1,124 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 10,286 | 10,768 | 11,250 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 128.57 | 134.60 | 140.63 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 128.57 | 134.60 | 140.63 | 157.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -18.1% | -14.3% | -10.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4110 | SM | 656 | AKAA.F | 1214 | 1212 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,633 | 1,279,482 | (925) | 39,896 | 1,257 | 11,436 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 118 | 103,745 | 157,789 | 12,562 | 71 | 1,087 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 485,939 | 195,680 | 46,544 | 512 | 653 | |
| (-) Debt | (321) | (538,450) | (237,928) | (37,909) | (314) | (609) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (10) | (243,383) | (79,436) | (11,502) | 0 | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,422 | 1,087,333 | 35,180 | 49,591 | 1,526 | 12,560 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 1,228.6 | 8,166.4 | 74.3 | 55.5 | 80.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.37 | 885.00 | 4.31 | 667.55 | 27.50 | 157.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 10.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.37 | 885.00 | 4.72 | 66.24 | 27.50 | 157.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | PHP | HKD | USD | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 10.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |