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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14,3x - 15,8x | 15,0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11,6x - 12,8x | 12,2x |
| Fair Value | ﷼135,98 - ﷼149,06 | ﷼142,52 |
| Upside | -4,9% - 4,2% | -0,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Batic Investments and Logistics Company | 4110 | SASE:4110 |
| DCC plc | DCCP.F | OTCPK:DCCP.F |
| Hikari Tsushin, Inc. | HKTG.F | OTCPK:HKTG.F |
| Keppel Ltd. | BN4 | SGX:BN4 |
| Guoco Group Limited | GULR.F | OTCPK:GULR.F |
| Astra Industrial Group Company | 1212 | SASE:1212 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4110 | DCCP.F | HKTG.F | BN4 | GULR.F | 1212 | ||
| SASE:4110 | OTCPK:DCCP.F | OTCPK:HKTG.F | SGX:BN4 | OTCPK:GULR.F | SASE:1212 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.7% | 2.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 25.3% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 326.6% | -0.4% | 11.6% | 48.4% | 71.2% | 22.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 64.9% | -0.8% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 19.9% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 0.5% | 2.9% | 13.3% | 4.7% | 13.6% | 16.9% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.8% | 2.6% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 18.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 2.7% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 21.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.7% | 2.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 18.2% | 24.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.11x | 0.32x | 2.93x | 2.55x | 1.66x | 3.55x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.0x | 7.7x | 17.2x | 15.0x | 7.8x | 13.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 113.6x | 11.8x | 19.7x | 18.9x | 9.2x | 14.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 9.2x | 18.9x | 113.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 11.0x | 14.4x | 21.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.3x | 15.0x | 15.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 719 | 719 | 719 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 10,277 | 10,818 | 11,359 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 939 | 939 | 939 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 11,216 | 11,756 | 12,297 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 140.19 | 146.96 | 153.72 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 140.19 | 146.96 | 153.72 | 143.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -2.0% | 2.8% | 7.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4110 | DCCP.F | HKTG.F | BN4 | GULR.F | 1212 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,537 | 5,939 | 2,537,291 | 16,390 | 4,766 | 10,501 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 119 | 1,088 | 325,345 | 1,942 | 3,119 | 795 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2 | 71 | 252,477 | 9,024 | 2,901 | 644 | |
| (-) Debt | (286) | (2,311) | (886,972) | (11,692) | (5,410) | (479) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (9) | (95) | (31,039) | (346) | (2,307) | (21) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,362 | 4,693 | 2,197,102 | 15,318 | 3,070 | 11,440 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 97.3 | 52.5 | 1,806.4 | 368.0 | 80.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.27 | 48.22 | 41,871.92 | 8.48 | 8.34 | 143.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.74 | 146.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.27 | 65.16 | 285.00 | 8.48 | 8.34 | 143.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | USD | USD | SGD | USD | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.74 | 146.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |