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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 19,2x - 21,2x | 20,2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 17,9x - 19,7x | 18,8x |
| Fair Value | ₱0,22 - ₱0,25 | ₱0,24 |
| Upside | -31,9% - -21,9% | -26,9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Benguet Corporation | BCB | PSE:BCB |
| Century Peak Holdings Corporation | CPM | PSE:CPM |
| Global Ferronickel Holdings, Inc. | FNI | PSE:FNI |
| Oriental Peninsula Resources Group, Inc. | ORE | PSE:ORE |
| Marcventures Holdings, Inc. | MARC | PSE:MARC |
| East Coast Vulcan Mining Corporation | ECVC | PSE:ECVC |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BCB | CPM | FNI | ORE | MARC | ECVC | ||
| PSE:BCB | PSE:CPM | PSE:FNI | PSE:ORE | PSE:MARC | PSE:ECVC | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | -13.6% | NM- | 5.8% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -33.9% | -21.8% | -33.3% | NM- | -39.6% | -66.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 132.2% | -68.6% | -31.1% | 30.0% | 50.9% | -19.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 29.4% | -17.9% | 32.1% | -17.1% | 19.4% | 54.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 27.0% | 0.8% | 33.0% | -55.3% | 18.0% | 52.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 19.0% | 5.3% | 12.9% | -59.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 29.8% | 1.9% | 19.8% | -23.6% | 21.0% | 30.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | -0.02x | 2.38x | 0.26x | 0.97x | 0.46x | 7.19x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.1x | 13.2x | 0.9x | -6.1x | 1.7x | 9.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.1x | 126.2x | 1.3x | -4.1x | 2.2x | 23.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4.1x | 1.3x | 126.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -1868.9x | -273.7x | 16.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 19.2x | 20.2x | 21.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 114 | 114 | 114 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,191 | 2,306 | 2,421 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (579) | (579) | (579) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,612 | 1,727 | 1,843 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,630.0 | 6,630.0 | 6,630.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.33 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.2% | -19.8% | -14.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BCB | CPM | FNI | ORE | MARC | ECVC | |
| Enterprise Value | (136) | 7,363 | 1,955 | 877 | 984 | 2,733 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,106 | 278 | 1,493 | 95 | 894 | 16 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 12 | 4,870 | 369 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (14) | (1,173) | (748) | (134) | (69) | (595) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 35 | (138) | (156) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,955 | 6,515 | 7,432 | 1,051 | 1,809 | 2,155 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 715.6 | 2,820.3 | 5,125.2 | 2,878.5 | 3,014.8 | 6,630.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.13 | 2.31 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 0.33 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.13 | 2.31 | 1.45 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 0.33 | |
| Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |