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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 1.683,3x - 1.860,4x | 1.771,9x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 677,7x - 749,0x | 713,3x |
Fair Value | ₱3,70 - ₱4,07 | ₱3,88 |
Upside | -12,4% - -3,5% | -8,0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Anglo Philippine Holdings Corporation | APO | PSE:APO |
I-Remit, Inc. | I | PSE:I |
Seafront Resources Corporation | SPM | PSE:SPM |
Mabuhay Holdings Corporation | MHC | PSE:MHC |
Vantage Equities, Inc. | V | PSE:V |
ABS-CBN Holdings Corporation | ABSP | PSE:ABSP |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
APO | I | SPM | MHC | V | ABSP | ||
PSE:APO | PSE:I | PSE:SPM | PSE:MHC | PSE:V | PSE:ABSP | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 27.9% | NM- | -28.5% | NM- | -3.9% | -24.4% | |
3Y CAGR | -42.7% | NM- | -35.5% | NM- | 13.8% | -21.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -90.4% | -8.4% | -5.2% | -217.4% | 10.1% | -12.3% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 78.1% | -191.0% | 89.0% | -511.7% | 60.5% | -25.6% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 91.0% | -71.0% | 68.4% | -152.4% | 63.0% | 2.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 81.7% | -405.3% | 78.0% | -240.8% | 62.0% | 4.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 52.0% | -929.0% | 77.9% | -8506.9% | 60.4% | 5.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 13.60x | 16.62x | 34.76x | 936.95x | -7.15x | 97.91x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.2x | -1.8x | NA | -11.2x | -11.7x | NA | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 26.2x | -1.8x | 44.6x | -11.0x | -11.8x | 1930.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -11.8x | -1.8x | 44.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 3093.9x | 6451.0x | 9983.8x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 1683.3x | 1771.9x | 1860.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 348 | 366 | 384 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 12 | 12 | 12 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 360 | 378 | 396 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 97.3 | 97.3 | 97.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 3.70 | 3.88 | 4.07 | ||||
FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.70 | 3.88 | 4.07 | 4.22 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -12.4% | -8.0% | -3.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | APO | I | SPM | MHC | V | ABSP | |
Enterprise Value | (8,694) | 860 | (336) | 303 | (7,423) | 399 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 139 | 350 | 39 | 72 | 12,110 | 12 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 10,034 | 3 | 610 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (1,091) | 0 | (14) | (28) | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (6) | 0 | 0 | (244) | (921) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,472 | 122 | 313 | 117 | 3,738 | 411 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,003.3 | 611.6 | 163.0 | 916.9 | 4,199.6 | 97.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.49 | 0.20 | 1.92 | 0.13 | 0.89 | 4.22 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.49 | 0.20 | 1.92 | 0.13 | 0.89 | 4.22 | |
Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |