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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5,8x - 6,4x | 6,1x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 5,6x - 6,2x | 5,9x |
| Fair Value | $23,58 - $25,65 | $24,62 |
| Upside | 36,7% - 48,7% | 42,7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Stanley Electric Co., Ltd. | 6923 | TSE:6923 |
| Ashimori Industry Co., Ltd. | 3526 | TSE:3526 |
| Nihon Plast Co., Ltd. | 7291 | TSE:7291 |
| Tokai Rika Co., Ltd. | 6995 | TSE:6995 |
| Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. | CPS | NYSE:CPS |
| Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. | TGOS.F | OTCPK:TGOS.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 6923 | 3526 | 7291 | 6995 | CPS | TGOS.F | ||
| TSE:6923 | TSE:3526 | TSE:7291 | TSE:6995 | NYSE:CPS | OTCPK:TGOS.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.6% | 50.4% | -9.3% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 11.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 20.9% | 105.0% | NM- | 56.7% | NM- | 26.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 36.7% | 23.1% | -1.4% | 23.0% | 34.9% | -5.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 3.5% | -1.9% | 5.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 6.5% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 6.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.28x | 0.09x | 0.09x | 0.54x | 0.32x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.8x | 3.1x | 1.5x | 1.0x | 7.1x | 2.9x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.3x | 4.3x | 4.1x | 1.6x | 13.9x | 5.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.6x | 4.3x | 13.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.0x | 6.1x | 8.2x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.8x | 6.1x | 6.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 66,268 | 66,268 | 66,268 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 386,308 | 406,640 | 426,972 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 73,518 | 73,518 | 73,518 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 459,826 | 480,158 | 500,490 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 127.2 | 127.2 | 127.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3,613.93 | 3,773.72 | 3,933.52 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/USD | 149.9 | 149.9 | 149.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 24.10 | 25.17 | 26.23 | 17.25 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 39.7% | 45.9% | 52.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 6923 | 3526 | 7291 | 6995 | CPS | TGOS.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 260,748 | 20,065 | 11,409 | 57,044 | 1,471 | 255,531 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 219,614 | 6,307 | 14,943 | 98,272 | 140 | 118,769 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 106,920 | 2,324 | 5,518 | 92,012 | 0 | 110,052 | |
| (-) Debt | (44,575) | (11,393) | (24,751) | (11,062) | (1,192) | (109,525) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (113,014) | (23) | 0 | (21,801) | 8 | (45,778) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 429,693 | 17,280 | 7,119 | 214,465 | 427 | 329,049 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 149.7 | 6.0 | 18.9 | 85.0 | 17.5 | 127.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2,869.50 | 2,870.00 | 376.00 | 2,522.00 | 24.36 | 2,586.11 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 149.94 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,869.50 | 2,870.00 | 376.00 | 2,522.00 | 24.36 | 17.25 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 149.94 | |