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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -6,1x - -6,7x | -6,4x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 10,9x - 12,1x | 11,5x |
| Fair Value | $1,49 - $1,96 | $1,72 |
| Upside | -45,9% - -28,7% | -37,3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation | 4188 | TSE:4188 |
| Nitto Denko Corporation | 6988 | TSE:6988 |
| Ishihara Sangyo Kaisha,Ltd. | 4028 | TSE:4028 |
| artience Co., Ltd. | 4634 | TSE:4634 |
| Asahi Kasei Corporation | 3407 | TSE:3407 |
| Sumitomo Chemical Company, Limited | SOMM.F | PINC:SOMM.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4188 | 6988 | 4028 | 4634 | 3407 | SOMM.F | ||
| TSE:4188 | TSE:6988 | TSE:4028 | TSE:4634 | TSE:3407 | PINC:SOMM.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.5% | 8.5% | 0.2% | 9.2% | -7.7% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | 13.1% | 14.2% | 26.8% | 16.2% | -6.4% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -52.5% | 36.8% | 75.8% | 52.6% | 86.9% | 16.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.8% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | -0.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | -2.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.6% | 18.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | -16.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.1% | 18.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | NA | -7.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.66x | 1.34x | 0.64x | 0.31x | 0.70x | 0.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.8x | 5.4x | 5.1x | 3.3x | 5.4x | -23.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.8x | 7.3x | 7.2x | 5.3x | 10.1x | -6.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 5.3x | 7.3x | 12.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -5.6x | 9.3x | 16.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -6.1x | -6.4x | -6.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (198,281) | (198,281) | (198,281) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,210,197 | 1,273,891 | 1,337,586 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (841,060) | (841,060) | (841,060) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 369,137 | 432,831 | 496,526 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,966.3 | 1,966.3 | 1,966.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 187.73 | 220.12 | 252.52 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/USD | 143.1 | 143.1 | 143.1 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.31 | 1.54 | 1.76 | 2.75 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -52.3% | -44.1% | -35.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4188 | 6988 | 4028 | 4634 | 3407 | SOMM.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,953,726 | 1,352,176 | 92,642 | 107,711 | 2,086,896 | 1,614,693 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 336,961 | 363,344 | 23,377 | 62,954 | 363,245 | 305,654 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 386,118 | 7,319 | 14,500 | 68,374 | 191,597 | 501,862 | |
| (-) Debt | (2,146,211) | (455) | (64,275) | (80,739) | (1,248,021) | (1,443,703) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (553,453) | (1,031) | (90) | (11,611) | (49,137) | (204,873) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 977,141 | 1,721,353 | 66,154 | 146,689 | 1,344,580 | 773,633 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,423.2 | 694.9 | 38.3 | 50.2 | 1,359.1 | 1,966.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 686.60 | 2,477.00 | 1,729.00 | 2,923.00 | 989.30 | 393.44 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 143.07 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 686.60 | 2,477.00 | 1,729.00 | 2,923.00 | 989.30 | 2.75 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 143.07 | |