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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8,2x - 9,1x | 8,7x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5,8x - 6,5x | 6,1x |
Fair Value | $22,02 - $24,74 | $23,38 |
Upside | 31,1% - 47,3% | 39,2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
JAKKS Pacific, Inc. | JAKK | NasdaqGS:JAKK |
Hasbro, Inc. | HAS * | BMV:HAS* |
Mattel, Inc. | MAT * | BMV:MAT* |
Acushnet Holdings Corp. | GOLF | NYSE:GOLF |
Polaris Inc. | PII * | BMV:PII* |
Spin Master Corp. | SNMS.F | OTCPK:SNMS.F |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
JAKK | HAS * | MAT * | GOLF | PII * | SNMS.F | ||
NasdaqGS:JAKK | BMV:HAS* | BMV:MAT* | NYSE:GOLF | BMV:PII* | OTCPK:SNMS.F | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 25.8% | 2.4% | 23.5% | 9.6% | -4.3% | 12.3% | |
3Y CAGR | 0.5% | -6.9% | -1.1% | 6.2% | -14.7% | -5.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 34.8% | 33.3% | -0.9% | 4.5% | -43.7% | 63.7% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 13.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 9.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 15.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 23.0% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.3% | 23.2% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 13.8% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.31x | 3.28x | 1.40x | 2.23x | 0.68x | 0.90x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.8x | 14.1x | 8.3x | 16.1x | 10.8x | 6.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 16.5x | 10.3x | 18.6x | 34.7x | 7.7x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.8x | 10.8x | 16.1x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 12.1x | 30.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.2x | 8.7x | 9.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 316 | 316 | 316 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,598 | 2,734 | 2,871 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (384) | (384) | (384) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 2,214 | 2,350 | 2,487 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 101.1 | 101.1 | 101.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 21.89 | 23.24 | 24.59 | ||||
FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 21.89 | 23.24 | 24.59 | 16.80 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 30.3% | 38.3% | 46.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | JAKK | HAS * | MAT * | GOLF | PII * | SNMS.F | |
Enterprise Value | 214 | 14,070 | 7,439 | 5,463 | 4,326 | 2,083 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 38 | 547 | 870 | 60 | 325 | 128 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 20 | |
(-) Debt | (56) | (3,349) | (2,682) | (1,010) | (1,953) | (532) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (29) | 0 | (5) | (4) | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 195 | 11,240 | 5,628 | 4,522 | 2,694 | 1,699 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 11.1 | 140.2 | 322.2 | 58.7 | 47.1 | 101.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 17.50 | 80.15 | 17.47 | 77.10 | 57.18 | 16.80 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 17.50 | 1,504.09 | 327.77 | 77.10 | 1,072.99 | 16.80 | |
Trading Currency | USD | MXN | MXN | USD | MXN | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 |